Introduction:
- Capital Account Convertibility (CAC) refers to the freedom to conduct investment transactions without any restrictions on converting local currency into foreign currency.
- It allows unrestricted currency conversion for capital inflows and outflows, often termed as Capital Asset Liberalization.
Body:
- Current Scenario in India:
- India currently has full convertibility in the current account but only partial convertibility in the capital account.
- The Tarapore Committee Reports (1997 and 2006) outlined a phased approach towards full CAC, but the process has been gradual and cautious over the past three decades.
- Merits of Full Capital Account Convertibility:
- Enhanced Access to International Markets:
- Full CAC could further liberalize the economy and attract foreign investments.
- Increased Financial Efficiency:
- By exposing the financial sector to global competition, full CAC could foster greater specialization and innovation, potentially reducing the cost of capital.
- Broadened Investment Opportunities:
- Residents could make investment and consumption decisions based on global interest rates and prices, enhancing their welfare.
- Example: Indian investors would have the freedom to invest in foreign securities and assets.
- Risk Hedging:
- Full CAC would allow investors and savers to diversify their portfolios globally, protecting the real value of their assets.
- Enhanced Access to International Markets:
- Demerits of Full Capital Account Convertibility:
- Capital Flight Risk:
- Speculative activities could lead to significant capital outflows, similar to what occurred in some South-East Asian economies during the 1997-98 financial crisis.
- Tax Evasion:
- Full CAC could undermine the government’s ability to tax domestic financial activities, income, and wealth.
- Inflationary Pressures:
- Market-determined exchange rates under CAC could increase import prices, leading to cost-push inflation.
- Economic Disruptions:
- Mismanagement of CAC could result in currency depreciation, negatively impacting trade and capital flows.
- Capital Flight Risk:
Conclusion:
- The preconditions for full CAC, as recommended by the Tarapore Committee (e.g., gross fiscal deficit below 3.5% of GDP, stable inflation, low CRR, and gross NPAs below 5%), have yet to be fully achieved in India.
- Therefore, while the benefits of full CAC are substantial, it is crucial for India to address these preconditions carefully to fully realize the potential advantages of capital account convertibility.