The Hindu — UPSC News Analysis
Daily Editorial & Current Affairs Digest
Saturday, 30 May 2026 · Bengaluru EditionA Mains-oriented decode of the day’s most exam-relevant news — selected for Prelims facts, Mains linkages, Essay fodder and Interview depth. Reporting filtered out; analysis retained.
1. NEET-UG Paper Leak & Reform of the NTA — Supreme Court Observations
- NEET-UG 2026 was cancelled and the probe transferred to the CBI; ~23 lakh candidates faced uncertainty.
- The Court contrasted repeated NTA failures with the UPSC’s near-zero record, locating the problem in weak institutional design, not just individuals.
- NTA: Registered society (2017) under the Ministry of Education to conduct entrance tests (NEET, JEE-Main, CUET, UGC-NET).
- RTE / Article 21A: Right to education; fair examination is integral to the Right to Equality (Art. 14) and dignity (Art. 21).
- Public Examinations (Prevention of Unfair Means) Act, 2024 — central anti-leak law with stringent penalties.
- K. Radhakrishnan High-Powered Committee on NTA reforms.
Proposed NTA reforms — chain-of-custody flowchart:
Pen-paper vs Computer-Based Test (CBT):
| Parameter | Pen & Paper | CBT (from next cycle) |
|---|---|---|
| Leak surface | High (physical transit) | Lower (encrypted delivery) |
| Logistics cost | Lower | Higher (centres, infra) |
| Digital divide | Neutral | Disadvantages rural/poor candidates |
| Scalability for 23 lakh | Proven | Untested at this scale |
- Institutional memory deficit: Frequent transfers of senior officers drain know-how; reforms are personality-driven, not systemic.
- Accountability gap: The Court stressed identifying the specific duty-bearer — diffuse responsibility breeds impunity.
- Federal & equity concern: Abrupt CBT shift may widen the urban-rural / class divide in medical access.
- Ethical dimension: Erosion of public trust, mental-health toll on aspirants, and the duty of the state as a fair examiner.
- Convert NTA into a statutory body with permanent specialised cadre and independent audit.
- Phased, infrastructure-ready CBT rollout with mock cycles; safeguards for rural candidates.
- Encrypted question-bank technology, biometric authentication, and a public grievance dashboard.
- Strict enforcement of the 2024 Act; link to SDG-4 (quality education) and constitutional fairness.
Prelims Pointers
- NTA — set up 2017, registered society under MoE.
- Public Examinations (Prevention of Unfair Means) Act, 2024.
- K. Radhakrishnan Committee on NTA reform.
- Art. 21A; RTE Act, 2009.
Mains Model Question
“Recurring examination leaks reflect a crisis of institutional capacity rather than individual failure.” Examine in the context of the NTA, and suggest reforms to restore credibility to high-stakes public examinations. (15 marks, 250 words)
With reference to the National Testing Agency (NTA), consider the following statements:
- It is a statutory body created by an Act of Parliament.
- It functions under the Ministry of Education.
- It conducts the UPSC Civil Services Examination.
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
- 1 and 2 only
- 2 only
- 2 and 3 only
- 1, 2 and 3
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (b) 2 only. NTA is a registered society (not statutory) under the Ministry of Education. The UPSC — a constitutional body — conducts the Civil Services Exam, not the NTA.
2. Supreme Court Sets 3-Month Deadline for High Courts to Pronounce Reserved Judgments
- No statutory timeline currently binds judges; convention suggested 2–6 months, but judgments are sometimes reserved for over a year.
- The Court mandated same/next-day bail orders, prompt release of undertrials, and reasons uploaded within a week.
- Article 21: Speedy justice is part of the right to life and personal liberty (Hussainara Khatoon case).
- Anil Rai v. State of Bihar (2001): SC laid down indicative timelines for pronouncing reserved verdicts.
- Pendency: ~5+ crore cases across courts; National Judicial Data Grid tracks disposal.
Causes
- Judge vacancies (~30% in HCs)
- Adjournment culture
- Complex caseloads, weak case-management
Impacts
- Undertrials languish
- “Justice delayed is justice denied”
- Erosion of public faith
SC Remedy
- 3-month limit
- Same-day bail orders
- Website transparency on reserve dates
- Strength: Converts a soft convention into an enforceable, transparent norm; directly aids undertrials.
- Concern: Timelines without filling judicial vacancies and infrastructure may force rushed or terse verdicts.
- Separation of powers: Judiciary self-disciplining is healthy, but execution depends on the Collegium-Executive appointment logjam.
- Fast-track MoP for judicial appointments; expand strength to the sanctioned cap.
- Strengthen e-Courts Phase III, AI-assisted scheduling, and dedicated research staff for judges.
- Periodic monitoring via the National Judicial Data Grid; align with SDG-16 (access to justice).
Prelims Pointers
- Anil Rai v. State of Bihar (2001).
- Hussainara Khatoon — speedy trial under Art. 21.
- National Judicial Data Grid; e-Courts Mission.
Mains Model Question
Judicial delay undermines the constitutional promise of speedy justice. Discuss the structural causes of pendency in Indian courts and evaluate recent measures to address it. (10 marks, 150 words)
The “right to speedy trial” in India is best described as:
- An explicit fundamental right in Article 19
- A statutory right under the CrPC/BNSS only
- An implied facet of the right to life and liberty under Article 21
- A Directive Principle under Article 39A
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (c). Speedy trial has been read into Article 21 (e.g., Hussainara Khatoon). Art. 39A (legal aid) is a DPSP and is related but distinct.
3. Supreme Court Extends TET Deadline for In-Service Teachers
- The relief came on review petitions against a Sept 2025 order; the Court ruled there will be no further extension.
- States were directed to hold TET twice a year (~6-month gap).
- RTE Act, 2009 + Art. 21A made TET a minimum qualification for teachers; NCTE sets norms.
- NEP 2020 emphasises teacher quality, four-year integrated B.Ed., and continuous professional development.
| Competing Interest | Child’s Right (RTE) | Teacher’s Service |
|---|---|---|
| Core principle | Child-centric, quality education | Livelihood & continuity |
| Court’s stance | Cannot be compromised | Limited, final reprieve |
| Rationale | 15 yrs since RTE = enough time | Avoid sudden displacement |
- Balancing act: The Court prioritised the child’s educational future over teacher tenure — RTE is child-centric.
- Systemic gap: Persistence of un-qualified teachers reflects weak recruitment and training pipelines.
- Quality vs access: Forcing exits without trained replacements could worsen pupil-teacher ratios in rural schools.
- Bridge courses and capacity-building for serving teachers; regular TET cycles as directed.
- Strengthen DIETs and in-service training under NEP 2020; align with SDG-4.
Prelims Pointers
- TET mandated under RTE Act, 2009; norms by NCTE.
- Art. 21A — free & compulsory education, 6–14 yrs.
- NEP 2020 — teacher reforms.
Mains Model Question
“Teacher quality is the single most important determinant of learning outcomes.” In this light, assess the role of eligibility tests like the TET within India’s RTE framework. (10 marks, 150 words)
The Teacher Eligibility Test (TET) is mandated under which of the following?
- The National Education Policy, 2020
- The Right of Children to Free and Compulsory Education Act, 2009
- The Constitution (86th Amendment) Act directly
- The University Grants Commission Act
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (b). TET is a qualifying requirement under the RTE Act, 2009, with norms laid by NCTE. The 86th Amendment inserted Art. 21A but TET itself flows from the RTE Act.
4. Supreme Court Issues Guidelines to Protect Survivors of Trafficking (Commercial Sexual Exploitation)
- Aim: standardise rescue, rehabilitation and reintegration of trafficked women and girls.
- Addresses long-standing gaps in protective mechanisms and survivor-centric care.
- Article 23: Prohibits trafficking in human beings and forced labour (a fundamental right).
- Immoral Traffic (Prevention) Act, 1956; relevant BNS provisions; Anti-Human Trafficking Units (AHTUs).
- India ratified the UN Palermo Protocol (Trafficking in Persons).
- Implementation gap: Multiplicity of laws/agencies; under-funded shelters; re-victimisation during legal proceedings.
- Federal challenge: “Police” and “public order” are State subjects — uniformity needs Centre-State coordination.
- Ethical core: Restoring dignity, agency and confidentiality; survivors are victims, not offenders.
- Pendency irony: A 22-year wait itself reflects systemic delay.
- Pass a comprehensive anti-trafficking law; strengthen AHTUs and victim-compensation schemes.
- Trauma-informed, survivor-led rehabilitation; align with SDG-5 & 8.7 (end forced labour/trafficking).
Prelims Pointers
- Article 23 — anti-trafficking fundamental right.
- Immoral Traffic (Prevention) Act, 1956; AHTUs.
- UN Palermo Protocol.
Mains Model Question
Human trafficking is both a human-rights violation and a governance failure. Critically examine India’s institutional framework to combat it. (15 marks, 250 words)
Which Article of the Constitution explicitly prohibits trafficking in human beings and forced labour?
- Article 19
- Article 21
- Article 23
- Article 24
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (c). Article 23 prohibits human trafficking and begar. Article 24 bars child labour in hazardous work.
5. NFHS-6: India’s Maternal & Child Health Gains and New Challenges
- Institutional deliveries up to 90.6%; full immunisation (12–23 months) to 87.1%.
- Stunting fell to 29.3%; severe wasting to 5.2%; TFR steady at 2.0 (below replacement 2.1).
- Caesarean rate rose to 27.2% (urban ~40%) — far above WHO’s 10–15% norm.
- NFHS: Conducted by IIPS, Mumbai for the Health Ministry.
- Schemes: JSY, JSSK, POSHAN 2.0, Mission Indradhanush, Anaemia Mukt Bharat.
- Replacement-level fertility = 2.1; India is below it nationally.
| Indicator | NFHS-5 (2019–21) | NFHS-6 (2023–24) | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Institutional deliveries | 88.6% | 90.6% | ▲ Improving |
| Stunting (under-5) | 35.5% | 29.3% | ▲ Declining |
| Full immunisation | 83.8% | 87.1% | ▲ Improving |
| Caesarean sections | 21.5% | 27.2% | ▼ Concern |
| Contraceptive use | 66.7% | 69.1% | ▲ Improving |
- Dual burden: Undernutrition co-exists with rising obesity and NCDs — a nutrition transition.
- Over-medicalisation: Spiking C-sections (esp. private hospitals) suggest commercial incentives, not just medical need.
- Equity gap: Gains are uneven across States and rural-urban lines; underweight barely improved.
- Audit and regulate C-section rates; strengthen NCD screening under Ayushman Bharat–HWCs.
- Sustain POSHAN 2.0 with focus on the first 1,000 days; align with SDG-2 & SDG-3.
Prelims Pointers
- NFHS conducted by IIPS, Mumbai.
- Replacement fertility = 2.1; India’s TFR = 2.0.
- WHO ideal C-section: 10–15%.
Mains Model Question
NFHS-6 reveals that India faces a “double burden of malnutrition”. Discuss its causes and implications for public-health policy. (10 marks, 150 words)
The National Family Health Survey (NFHS) in India is conducted by:
- NITI Aayog
- Registrar General of India
- International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS), Mumbai
- National Sample Survey Office
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (c). NFHS is conducted by IIPS, Mumbai on behalf of the Ministry of Health & Family Welfare.
6. Karnataka Shuts 458 UG Programmes in Government First-Grade Colleges
- Zero enrolment in 1,091 UG combinations (2025-26); single-digit in 190 more.
- Worst hit: tier-2/3 cities and rural colleges; affiliation/AICTE fees made low-enrolment courses a fiscal burden.
- NEP 2020: Multidisciplinary education, multiple entry-exit, Academic Bank of Credits, GER target 50% by 2035.
- NAAC accreditation and CGPA shape institutional funding/quality perception.
Demand-side
- Job-market bias to vocational/IT
- Migration to private & tier-1 colleges
- Perceived low employability
Supply-side
- Faculty vacancies
- Poor rural infrastructure
- Outdated curricula
Consequences
- Loss of liberal-arts depth
- Regional access gaps
- Humanities decline
- Equity risk: Closures in rural/tier-3 areas may push the poor out of higher education entirely.
- Erosion of foundational sciences/humanities: Weakens the base for research and civil services.
- Fiscal vs social trade-off: Cost-saving logic can clash with the public-good role of state colleges.
- Curriculum modernisation, skill + degree integration, and faculty recruitment in rural colleges.
- Demand mapping before closures; protect access via cluster/hub-college models under NEP. Link to SDG-4.
Prelims Pointers
- NEP 2020 GER target: 50% by 2035.
- Academic Bank of Credits; multiple entry-exit.
- NAAC — accreditation body under UGC.
Mains Model Question
Declining enrolment in public arts and science colleges signals deeper malaise in higher education access and relevance. Examine in the context of NEP 2020. (10 marks, 150 words)
The Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER) target for higher education set by NEP 2020 is:
- 30% by 2030
- 40% by 2035
- 50% by 2035
- 60% by 2040
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (c). NEP 2020 aims to raise higher-education GER to 50% by 2035.
7. Quad Foreign Ministers’ Meeting & the Grouping’s Future Direction
- New initiatives: Maritime Surveillance Collaboration, Maritime Domain Awareness, Quad-at-Sea Ship Observer Mission, a critical-mineral pact, and a first Quad port project (Fiji).
- The joint statement reaffirmed a Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP), territorial integrity, and UNCLOS — but softened language on West Asia.
- Quad timeline: Official-level 2007 → revived 2017 → leader-level 2021.
- Focus areas: maritime security, critical & emerging tech, vaccines, infrastructure, climate.
- UNCLOS, FOIP, and the counter to assertive maritime claims anchor its agenda.
| Pillar | What it does | Significance for India |
|---|---|---|
| Maritime security (IPMDA/IPMSC) | Shared surveillance of seas | Counters grey-zone coercion in IOR |
| Critical minerals | De-risk supply chains | Reduces import dependence on one source |
| Infrastructure (Fiji port) | Connectivity, alternative to BRI | Strategic Pacific footprint |
- Divergence: US engagement with China/Russia and unilateral West Asia moves strain Quad unity.
- Summit drift: India’s chairmanship has yet to host a leaders’ summit, hinting at downgraded momentum.
- Strategic autonomy: India must balance Quad commitments with its own non-aligned/multi-aligned posture.
- Deepen functional, “public-good” cooperation (climate, health, connectivity) over hard-security signalling.
- Hold the leaders’ summit to restore credibility; institutionalise a permanent secretariat.
Prelims Pointers
- Quad members: India, US, Japan, Australia.
- IPMDA = Indo-Pacific Partnership for Maritime Domain Awareness.
- UNCLOS, 1982; FOIP concept.
Mains Model Question
“The Quad’s strength lies in functional cooperation, not military posturing.” Evaluate in light of recent geopolitical strains. (15 marks, 250 words)
“IPMDA”, often seen in the context of the Quad, relates to:
- Trade in critical minerals
- Maritime domain awareness in the Indo-Pacific
- Climate financing
- A vaccine partnership
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (b). IPMDA = Indo-Pacific Partnership for Maritime Domain Awareness, a Quad maritime-tracking initiative.
8. The Erosion of International Law & the Rules-Based Order
- The post-1945 edifice of treaties and institutions is fraying under great-power impunity.
- Examples span the UN Charter (prohibition on use of force), UNCLOS (South China Sea, Strait of Hormuz), IHL and human-rights covenants.
- UN Charter (1945): Sovereign equality, non-use of force (Art. 2(4)), self-defence (Art. 51).
- UNCLOS (1982): EEZ, freedom of navigation, dispute settlement.
- Institutions: UNSC, ICJ, ICC; arms-control regimes (INF, New START, JCPOA).
| Domain | Norm under stress |
|---|---|
| Use of force | Art. 2(4) UN Charter — sovereignty & non-aggression |
| Law of the sea | UNCLOS — freedom of navigation, EEZ rights |
| Humanitarian law | Geneva Conventions — civilian protection |
| Arms control | INF, New START, JCPOA — nuclear restraint |
- Enforcement vacuum: UNSC paralysis (veto), ICC’s limited jurisdiction over major powers, voluntary treaty compliance.
- “Might is right”: Selective application erodes legitimacy and incentivises defection by others.
- India’s stake: A rules-based order protects mid-sized powers; India champions reformed multilateralism and UNSC reform.
- Reform the UNSC and strengthen accountability mechanisms; revive arms-control dialogue.
- Promote restraint over adventurism; treat international law as a shared framework, not a panacea.
Prelims Pointers
- UN Charter Art. 2(4) & Art. 51.
- UNCLOS, 1982 — EEZ = 200 nautical miles.
- JCPOA, New START, INF Treaty.
Mains / Essay Question
“When the powerful ignore the law, the rules-based order becomes the rule of the powerful.” Critically examine the crisis of contemporary international law. (Essay / 15 marks)
Under UNCLOS, the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) of a coastal state extends up to:
- 12 nautical miles
- 24 nautical miles
- 200 nautical miles
- 350 nautical miles
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (c). The EEZ extends up to 200 nautical miles from the baseline; 12 nm is the territorial sea and 24 nm the contiguous zone.
9. India–US Interim Trade Deal “to be Finalised in Coming Months”
- The deal is framed around “trusted ecosystems and resilient supply chains”.
- Comes amid tariff/trade frictions and broader strategic alignment.
- The US is among India’s largest trade partners; key pillars: iCET, COMPACT, defence & tech cooperation.
- India seeks market access, tariff relief and visa/services gains; sensitive areas: agriculture, dairy, data.
| India’s Gains | India’s Concerns |
|---|---|
| Tariff relief, market access | Pressure to open agriculture/dairy |
| Supply-chain diversification (“China+1”) | Data-localisation & digital trade rules |
| Tech & defence co-production | Asymmetry in negotiating leverage |
- Strategic autonomy: India must protect farmer interests and policy space while deepening ties.
- External vulnerability: A wide trade deficit and FPI outflows (see RBI BoP data) raise the stakes of a balanced deal.
- Predictability concern: US tariff unpredictability complicates long-term planning.
- Sequence sensitive sectors carefully; secure services/labour-mobility gains.
- Diversify partners (EU FTA, CEPA) to avoid over-dependence; build domestic competitiveness (PLI).
Prelims Pointers
- iCET = Initiative on Critical & Emerging Technology.
- India-US bilateral trade ~ $220 bn (goods + services).
- PLI schemes; “China+1” strategy.
Mains Model Question
Examine the opportunities and risks for India in negotiating a trade agreement with the United States amid a volatile global trade environment. (15 marks, 250 words)
The “iCET” between India and the US primarily covers cooperation in:
- Agriculture and dairy
- Critical and emerging technologies
- Climate finance
- Maritime boundaries
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (b). iCET = Initiative on Critical and Emerging Technology (AI, semiconductors, quantum, space, defence tech).
10. Inside China’s Green Transition — Lessons for India
- China accounts for ~60% of global EV sales, ~76% of lithium-ion battery cell manufacturing, and processes ~90% of rare earths.
- It frames energy security and green transition as converging goals, especially amid West Asia oil-route risks.
- India’s targets: 500 GW non-fossil capacity by 2030, net-zero by 2070, Panchamrit (COP-26).
- Schemes: PLI for batteries & solar (ALMM), National Green Hydrogen Mission, FAME, KABIL (critical minerals).
1. Investment
- State-backed capital
- Scale economies
2. Enforcement
- Strict emission norms
- Anti-corruption + big-data monitoring
3. Technology
- Capability > price
- Complete value chain
- Supply-chain dependence: The world (incl. India, EU) risks strategic over-reliance on Chinese green tech.
- De-industrialisation fear: EU reports warn of Chinese imports threatening domestic manufacturing.
- India’s gap: Limited mineral processing and battery-cell capacity; coal still ~56% of primary energy.
- Global South angle: China offers affordable transition the West struggles to match.
- Scale up domestic battery/solar manufacturing and rare-earth processing (KABIL, critical-minerals mission).
- Diversify mineral sourcing (MSP, friend-shoring); invest in R&D and enforcement. Link to SDG-7 & 13.
Prelims Pointers
- India: 500 GW non-fossil by 2030; net-zero 2070.
- ALMM = Approved List of Models & Manufacturers (solar).
- KABIL — critical-mineral sourcing PSU.
Mains Model Question
China’s dominance of green-energy supply chains is both an opportunity and a strategic risk for India. Discuss with reference to critical minerals and clean-tech manufacturing. (15 marks, 250 words)
“KABIL”, in the context of India’s energy transition, is associated with:
- Domestic solar-panel certification
- Acquisition of critical and strategic minerals abroad
- Green hydrogen production
- EV charging infrastructure
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (b). KABIL (Khanij Bidesh India Ltd.) sources critical minerals like lithium and cobalt from overseas.
11. Concrete Fever — Urban Heat Islands & India’s Lethal Heat
- Heatwave frequency in India’s Core Heatwave Zone rose ~0.1 days/decade since 1961; duration up ~0.55 days/decade.
- Urban areas run 2°C–10°C hotter than surrounding rural areas; 2015–25 was the warmest 11-year stretch on record.
- Heatwave criteria (IMD): Plains ≥40°C, hills ≥30°C, with a departure threshold from normal.
- Heat Action Plans (HAPs); Ahmedabad pioneered India’s first HAP (2013).
- Urban Heat Island (UHI): Heat trapped by concrete, asphalt, loss of tree cover, AC waste heat.
- Equity: ACs shield the privileged; the burden falls on street vendors and outdoor labourers.
- Tech trap: More ACs cool indoors but add waste heat outdoors — a feedback loop.
- Governance gap: Labour laws on stopping outdoor work above heat thresholds are poorly enforced; no dedicated budget head for heat.
- Cool roofs, reflective materials, mandatory green cover, climate-calibrated building codes.
- Enforce heat-index work-stoppage rules; notify heat as a disaster for relief; align with SDG-11 & 13.
Prelims Pointers
- IMD heatwave: plains ≥40°C; wet-bulb temperature concept.
- Ahmedabad — first city HAP (2013).
- Urban Heat Island effect.
Mains Model Question
“India’s heat crisis is as much a failure of urban design as of climate.” Examine, suggesting governance and planning interventions. (15 marks, 250 words)
The “Urban Heat Island” effect is primarily caused by:
- Higher rainfall in cities
- Concentration of heat-absorbing surfaces and reduced vegetation
- Lower population density
- Increased ground-water recharge
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (b). UHI results from concrete/asphalt absorbing and re-radiating heat, loss of vegetation, and anthropogenic (incl. AC waste) heat.
12. Coastal Climate Projections & IMD’s Lowered Monsoon Outlook
- India’s average temperatures projected to rise ~1.5°C; the 1.5°C threshold may be crossed regionally soon.
- IMD now puts a 60% probability of a “deficient” monsoon (under 90% of LPA), linked to a likely El Niño.
- LPA (Long Period Average): ~87 cm rainfall over 1971–2020; “normal” = 96–104% of LPA.
- El Niño (warming of central/eastern Pacific) → typically weakens the Indian monsoon; IOD and MJO are key modulators.
- Wet-bulb temperature — combined heat+humidity stress indicator.
| Factor | Effect on Monsoon |
|---|---|
| El Niño | Generally suppresses rainfall (negative) |
| Positive IOD | Enhances rainfall (positive) |
| MJO (favourable phase) | Boosts convection & rain |
| Low-pressure systems | Lift seasonal totals |
- Agrarian risk: A deficient monsoon threatens rain-fed farming, rural incomes and food inflation.
- Coastal vulnerability: Higher wet-bulb temps + intensified monsoon extremes endanger livelihoods and ecosystems.
- Forecast uncertainty: IMD erred on Kerala onset (last such miss in 2015) — models still imperfect.
- Climate-resilient & drought-tolerant crops, micro-irrigation, crop insurance (PMFBY).
- Coastal adaptation plans, mangrove restoration, early-warning systems; align with SDG-13.
Prelims Pointers
- LPA; “normal” monsoon = 96–104% of LPA.
- El Niño, IOD, MJO — monsoon modulators.
- Wet-bulb temperature.
Mains Model Question
Discuss the factors influencing the Indian summer monsoon and the implications of a deficient monsoon for India’s economy. (10 marks, 150 words)
Consider the following with respect to the Indian monsoon:
- El Niño conditions are generally associated with weaker monsoon rainfall.
- A positive Indian Ocean Dipole tends to enhance monsoon rainfall.
Which is/are correct?
- 1 only
- 2 only
- Both 1 and 2
- Neither
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (c). El Niño usually suppresses the monsoon; a positive IOD generally enhances it (can partly offset El Niño).
13. India’s Balance of Payments Slips into Deficit (RBI Annual Report 2025-26)
- The Current Account Deficit (CAD) hit a three-year high of $30.2 bn; the capital account surplus collapsed ~99.5% to just $72 million.
- FPIs pulled out a net $4.3 bn; services surplus shrank; the deficit was funded by drawing down forex reserves.
- BoP = Current Account + Capital Account.
- Current account: trade in goods & services + transfers; Capital account: FDI, FPI, ECBs, assistance.
- India typically runs a CAD (imports > exports), often offset by services exports and remittances.
- Twin drivers: Oil & gold imports (India imports ~90% of oil, makes no gold) plus volatile capital flows.
- Rupee pressure: Outflows weigh on the currency; policy response includes higher gold/silver import duty (to 15%).
- External shock: West Asia conflict and global risk-off sentiment amplify vulnerability.
- Boost exports & services, push import substitution (PLI), expand renewables to cut oil dependence.
- Stabilise capital flows, deepen forex buffers; promote domestic savings into productive assets.
Prelims Pointers
- BoP = Current Account + Capital Account.
- CAD high of $30.2 bn; BoP deficit $30.8 bn (2025-26).
- Gold/silver import duty raised to 15%.
Mains Model Question
A widening Balance of Payments deficit reflects structural weaknesses in India’s external sector. Examine the causes and policy options. (15 marks, 250 words)
Which of the following is recorded under the capital account of India’s Balance of Payments?
- Foreign Portfolio Investment
- Software services exports
- External Commercial Borrowings
Select the correct answer:
- 1 and 3 only
- 2 only
- 1 and 2 only
- 1, 2 and 3
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (a). FPI and ECBs are capital-account items; software/services exports fall under the current account (invisibles).
14. Strategic LPG & Crude Reserves Amid West Asia Crisis
- LPG demand ~72,000 MT/day vs domestic production ~50–52,000 MT/day — a supply gap met partly by imports.
- Conflict-driven oil-route insecurity (Strait of Hormuz) makes buffer stocks strategically vital.
- Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR): Managed by ISPRL at Visakhapatnam, Mangaluru, Padur (~5.33 MMT).
- India imports ~85–90% of crude; Strait of Hormuz carries a large share of global oil/LNG.
| Vulnerability | Mitigation |
|---|---|
| High import dependence | Strategic reserves, diversified sourcing |
| Choke-point risk (Hormuz) | Alternate suppliers (US, Russia, Africa) |
| Price/forex shock | Renewables, biofuels, demand management |
- Strategic logic: Reserves cushion price spikes but India’s SPR covers far fewer days than the IEA’s 90-day norm.
- Twin pressure: Energy imports also widen the BoP/CAD — energy and macro stability are linked.
- Convergence: As China shows, energy security and green transition increasingly reinforce each other.
- Expand SPR capacity, source diversification, and biofuel/ethanol blending.
- Accelerate renewables & green hydrogen to cut long-term import reliance; align with SDG-7.
Prelims Pointers
- SPR sites: Visakhapatnam, Mangaluru, Padur (ISPRL).
- Strait of Hormuz — key oil choke-point.
- India imports ~85–90% of crude oil.
Mains Model Question
“Energy security and the green transition are no longer a binary choice for India.” Discuss in light of recent geopolitical shocks. (10 marks, 150 words)
India’s Strategic Petroleum Reserves are currently located at which of the following?
- Visakhapatnam
- Mangaluru
- Padur
Select the correct answer:
- 1 only
- 1 and 2 only
- 1, 2 and 3
- 2 and 3 only
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (c). India’s SPR (Phase-I) are at Visakhapatnam, Mangaluru and Padur, managed by ISPRL.
15. New “Quadrangular” Border Security Grid & Internal Security
- Smart Border Security Project: drones, radars, watchtowers, tech fencing — esp. on the West Bengal (Bangladesh) boundary and riverine/forested gaps.
- Manipur: a Kuki–Naga–Meitei conflict matrix continues to disrupt highways and essential supplies.
- Border Guarding Forces: BSF (Pak, B’desh), ITBP (China), SSB (Nepal, Bhutan), Assam Rifles (Myanmar).
- CIBMS (Comprehensive Integrated Border Management System); Vibrant Villages Programme.
- Manipur unrest rooted in ethnic, land and demographic tensions.
Public
- Community intelligence
- Border villages as “first line”
Civil Admin + Police
- Local coordination
- Law & order
Military + BSF
- Hard security
- Tech-enabled grid
- Whole-of-society approach: Integrating communities can improve intelligence but needs trust-building, esp. in conflict zones.
- Terrain challenge: Riverine and forested stretches resist conventional fencing — tech-fencing is costly and slow.
- Manipur lesson: Hard security alone is insufficient without political reconciliation and rule of law.
- Complete CIBMS deployment; invest in border-village development to stem out-migration.
- In Manipur: impartial law enforcement, dialogue, disarmament, and rehabilitation of the displaced.
Prelims Pointers
- Border forces: BSF, ITBP, SSB, Assam Rifles.
- CIBMS; Vibrant Villages Programme.
- Assam Rifles guards the India-Myanmar border.
Mains Model Question
“Effective border management requires technology, community participation and political resolution in equal measure.” Examine with reference to India’s borders and the North-East. (15 marks, 250 words)
Which of the following Central Armed Police Forces is primarily responsible for guarding the India–Myanmar border?
- Border Security Force (BSF)
- Sashastra Seema Bal (SSB)
- Assam Rifles
- Indo-Tibetan Border Police (ITBP)
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (c). Assam Rifles guards the India-Myanmar border; SSB guards Nepal & Bhutan borders; ITBP guards the India-China border.
16. China’s Nuclear Silo & Launch-Pad Expansion in the Desert
- Over 80 pads for mobile missile launchers and air-defence, plus command-control-communications (C3) facilities.
- Aims to ensure no US first strike could reliably disable China’s retaliatory capability.
- Second-strike capability: Ability to retaliate after absorbing a first nuclear strike — basis of deterrence.
- Nuclear triad: land (ICBM), air, and sea-based (SLBM) delivery; No First Use doctrines (India, China).
- Treaties under strain: INF (collapsed), New START, NPT.
| Concept | Meaning |
|---|---|
| First strike | Pre-emptive nuclear attack to disarm the enemy |
| Second strike | Assured retaliation — survivability is key |
| C3 systems | Command, control & communications for nuclear forces |
| Nuclear triad | Land + air + sea delivery platforms |
- Arms-race risk: Expansion intensifies US-China nuclear competition amid Taiwan tensions.
- Regional impact for India: A larger, more survivable Chinese arsenal pressures India’s deterrence and modernisation choices.
- Eroding restraint: Treaty collapse weakens global non-proliferation norms.
- India: credible minimum deterrence, complete its triad (SSBNs), and invest in C3 resilience.
- Globally: revive arms-control dialogue and confidence-building measures to prevent miscalculation.
Prelims Pointers
- Second-strike capability; nuclear triad.
- India follows “Credible Minimum Deterrence” & NFU.
- New START; INF Treaty (collapsed); NPT.
Mains Model Question
The expansion of China’s nuclear infrastructure has implications for strategic stability in Asia. Discuss its impact on India’s nuclear posture. (10 marks, 150 words)
The term “second-strike capability” in nuclear strategy refers to:
- The ability to launch a pre-emptive disarming attack
- The capacity to retaliate effectively after absorbing a nuclear first strike
- Possession of tactical nuclear weapons only
- A treaty limiting warhead numbers
Show Answer & Explanation
Answer: (b). Second-strike capability is assured retaliation after surviving a first strike; it underpins credible deterrence.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Quick-revision answers to common questions on today’s most important topics — useful for both Prelims facts and Mains value-addition.
What did the Supreme Court say about the NEET-UG paper leak and the NTA?
What is the new timeline set by the Supreme Court for High Court judgments?
What are the key findings of NFHS-6 (2023-24)?
Why is India’s Balance of Payments in deficit in 2025-26?
Why does China dominate the global green-energy supply chain?
What is the Urban Heat Island effect and why does it matter for India?
What is the Quad and what new initiatives were announced?
What is the “quadrangular” border security grid announced by the government?
How can these topics be used in UPSC Mains answers?
The Hindu — UPSC News Analysis · 30 May 2026
Prepared by Legacy IAS Academy, Bangalore · For educational use of UPSC aspirants.
Analysis and interpretation are original study notes; news facts are drawn from the day’s edition.


