Editorials & Explained — 3 November 2026
Cascading Effect: The Siang Upper Multipurpose Project, China’s Mega-Dam and the Land Rights of the Adi Community
The editorial argues that India’s proposed 11.2 GW (11,200 MW) Siang Upper Multipurpose Project (SUMP) in Arunachal Pradesh — conceived largely as a strategic buffer against China’s ~60 GW mega-dam on the Yarlung Tsangpo — cannot be pushed through by force. A project meant to protect national interest must still comply with the land rights and legal protections of the people it displaces.
- Origin: the Chemayungdung glacier in the Kailash range of south-western Tibet, near Lake Mansarovar. In Tibet it is the Yarlung Tsangpo, flowing east along the northern flank of the Himalaya.
- The Great Bend: near Namcha Barwa (7,782 m) the river makes a sharp U-turn, cutting the Yarlung Tsangpo Grand Canyon, one of the deepest gorges on Earth. This steep drop is what makes the stretch attractive for hydropower.
- In India: it enters Arunachal Pradesh as the Siang (Dihang). Near Sadiya in Assam it is joined by the Dibang and Lohit and takes the name Brahmaputra.
- Downstream: in Bangladesh it is called the Jamuna; it merges with the Padma (Ganga) and the Meghna before reaching the Bay of Bengal. Total length is about 2,900 km.
- Key tributaries: right bank — Subansiri (its largest tributary), Kameng, Manas, Teesta; left bank — Dibang, Lohit, Burhi Dihing, Dhansiri, Kopili. Majuli, in Assam, is among the world’s largest river islands.
- Character: a braided river with one of the highest sediment loads in the world, fed mainly by the south-west monsoon and by tributaries that join below the Tibetan Plateau.
- Scale: about 60 GW, roughly three times China’s Three Gorges Dam (22.5 GW). Construction formally began in July 2025 on the lower reaches of the Yarlung Tsangpo.
- Design: five cascading power stations exploiting a fall of roughly 2,000 m over about 50 km near the Great Bend.
- India’s concerns: the possibility that flows could be diverted (causing lean-season drought) or released suddenly (causing floods in Arunachal and Assam). China says there will be no downstream harm but has not shared engineering details.
- Earlier precedent: the Zangmu dam (operational since 2015) was China’s first large hydropower plant on the river.
- Capacity: 11,200 MW (11.2 GW) — it would be India’s largest hydropower project.
- Location: the Siang river, Upper Siang district, Arunachal Pradesh.
- Type: a storage-based, multipurpose project — hydropower plus flood moderation and a water-security reserve against upstream releases.
- Operating idea under discussion: keeping the reservoir at about 70% so it can absorb unexpected surges.
- Affected people: mainly the Adi community, whose villages and farmland lie in the submergence and survey area.
- Status: at the survey / pre-feasibility stage, under local protest; survey teams have been deployed with security forces.
- No water-sharing treaty exists between India and China (contrast the Indus Waters Treaty, 1960 with Pakistan and the Ganga Water Treaty, 1996 with Bangladesh).
- Hydrological data MoUs: China has supplied flood-season data from upstream stations under MoUs first signed in 2002 and renewed periodically. The arrangement has been interrupted and renewal delayed.
- Expert Level Mechanism (ELM): set up in 2006 to discuss trans-border river issues; it has produced no binding commitments.
- Latest: China has agreed to share hydrological data during emergencies on humanitarian grounds — but not operational data for the mega-dam.
- International law: neither country is party to the UN Watercourses Convention, 1997 (in force 2014), which codifies equitable and reasonable utilisation and the no-significant-harm rule.
The editorial accepts the strategic anxiety but questions the method. Deploying security forces to guard survey teams and invoking a State anti-unlawful-activities law against activists, it argues, confirms local fears that land will be taken.
It treats the problem as part of a wider top-down model of hydropower development in Arunachal Pradesh.
- Limits of the “buffer” logic: much of the Brahmaputra’s water in Assam and Bangladesh comes from the monsoon and from tributaries downstream of Tibet, so China cannot simply control total flow. The risk is concentrated near the border, where SUMP sits.
- Operational blind spot: SUMP needs data on both the mega-dam’s operations and downstream inflows; without Chinese data, the protection a 70% reservoir actually provides is uncertain.
- Geological risk: the eastern Himalaya is among the world’s most tectonically active and erosion-prone landscapes.
- Diplomacy is unavoidable: operating SUMP safely will require engagement with China, complicated by Beijing’s disputed claims on Arunachal Pradesh.
- Bottom line: national need does not exempt the State from following all relevant laws and protections; antagonising citizens undermines the national interest it claims to serve.
- Customary land tenure: much land in Arunachal Pradesh is held under community and clan ownership according to customary law, so acquisition directly touches collective rights.
- RFCTLARR Act, 2013: requires a Social Impact Assessment (SIA) and rehabilitation and resettlement entitlements. Prior consent (70% for PPP and 80% for private projects) is mandatory only for those categories, not for government projects.
- Forest Rights Act, 2006: diversion of forest land requires recognition of forest rights and Gram Sabha involvement — upheld in the Supreme Court’s Niyamgiri judgment (2013).
- EIA Notification, 2006: large hydro projects need prior environmental clearance, including a public hearing.
- Dam Safety Act, 2021: creates the National Committee and National Dam Safety Authority; especially relevant in Seismic Zone V, which saw the 1950 Assam–Tibet earthquake (M 8.6).
- Article 371H: special provision for Arunachal Pradesh, giving the Governor special responsibility for law and order.
- Policy context: large hydro (above 25 MW) was classified as renewable energy in 2019; Arunachal holds roughly a third of India’s assessed hydropower potential.
- Case for SUMP: it provides flood moderation, a strategic water reserve, firm clean power and a basis for asserting India’s prior use of the river — a principle of international water law.
- Case for caution:
- A very high dam in Seismic Zone V raises safety concerns.
- The Brahmaputra’s sediment load will cause reservoir siltation.
- GLOF and landslide hazards are severe in the region.
- No cumulative impact assessment has been done for the many dams planned in the basin.
- Fish, agriculture and riverine livelihoods downstream could be affected.
- Downstream credibility: how India treats Assam’s and Bangladesh’s concerns will shape the strength of its own case against China.
- Lessons from Subansiri: the 2,000 MW Subansiri Lower Project was delayed for years by downstream protests and safety concerns. Early, genuine consultation costs less than prolonged conflict.
- Consent-based process: free, prior and informed engagement with the Adi community, with transparent SIA, benefit-sharing (equity, local employment, a share of revenue) and protection of customary rights.
- Basin-wide science: a cumulative impact and dam-break study for the whole Siang–Brahmaputra cascade, with independent seismic review.
- Upstream intelligence: India’s own satellite-based and in-situ monitoring of Tibetan flows, reducing dependence on Chinese data.
- Diplomacy: push for a comprehensive data-sharing arrangement with China, and consult Bangladesh as a lower riparian.
1. The Siang Upper Multipurpose Project is framed as a strategic response to China’s hydropower development on the Yarlung Tsangpo. Discuss the strategic, ecological and social dimensions of the project, and suggest how India can reconcile national security with the rights of local communities. 15 marks · 250 words
2. In the absence of a water-sharing treaty, how can India safeguard its interests as a lower riparian on the Brahmaputra? 10 marks · 150 words
Measuring Before Cutting: Tamil Nadu’s Committee on Welfare and Public Spending, and the Case for State Expenditure Reform
Tamil Nadu has set up a high-level committee on welfare and public spending. The author argues that its first task is not to cut but to measure: define what the State actually spends and where it is recorded, using international standards such as the IMF’s Government Finance Statistics Manual 2014 (GFSM 2014). Done well, this could become a model for expenditure reform across States.
- Revenue vs capital expenditure:
- Revenue expenditure neither creates assets nor reduces liabilities — salaries, pensions, interest, subsidies, maintenance.
- Capital expenditure creates assets (roads, hospitals) or reduces liabilities (loan repayment).
- Committed expenditure: the near-fixed claims on a budget — salaries, pensions and interest payments. The higher its share, the less room for discretionary spending; this is fiscal rigidity.
- Revenue receipts: a State’s own tax and non-tax revenue plus its share in central taxes and grants from the Centre.
- Explicit vs implicit subsidies:
- Explicit subsidies are budgeted cash transfers.
- Implicit subsidies are hidden costs — below-cost pricing, unpaid dues, losses of public utilities, guarantees.
- Off-budget borrowing: borrowing by State-owned entities (corporations, boards) that is serviced from the budget but not shown in the State’s debt. Since 2022, the Centre counts such borrowings within States’ net borrowing ceilings.
- Article 202: the State’s Annual Financial Statement (budget).
- Article 293: State borrowing; a State that owes money to the Centre needs the Centre’s consent to borrow further.
- Article 280: the Finance Commission, which recommends tax devolution and fiscal paths for States.
- Articles 148–151: the CAG, whose audit reports on State finances have repeatedly flagged off-budget liabilities and misclassified spending.
- Fiscal Responsibility Laws: State-level counterparts of the Centre’s FRBM Act, 2003, setting deficit and debt targets.
The State’s own June 2026 White Paper shows a budget that is more rigid and less investment-oriented than those of its main industrial peers: committed claims take up most of the revenue, and capital spending is low.
- 1. Comparable accounts: definitions, classifications and coverage differ across States and between States and the Union. A supplementary GFSM 2014 reconciliation would allow comparison with other States and countries.
- 2. The full cost of subsidies: subsidy reporting is fragmented, and implicit subsidies are left out.
- Bicycle and seed subsidies were booked as grants-in-aid — ₹802 crore in 2023-24.
- Working-capital borrowing by the State Civil Supplies Corporation rose from ₹17,500 crore (2021-22) to ₹27,181 crore (2025-26) as unpaid subsidy dues accumulated.
- 3. The “fiscal perimeter” of power: support to electricity comes through many channels:
- tariff subsidies and below-cost pricing;
- unpaid dues and utility losses;
- guarantees and borrowing;
- capital outlays and net lending.
- 4. True capital spending: recorded “capital expenditure” includes loans, equity injections and debt repayments that create no physical asset. Spending on roads, water systems, schools and hospitals should be shown separately from these financial transactions.
- 5. The real wage bill: budgeted salaries were about ₹75,500 crore (2023-24 RE), but the publicly financed workforce extends further.
- Uncounted groups include contractual and scheme workers, aided institutions, local bodies, autonomous bodies and public enterprises.
- RBI data show municipal-corporation salaries, wages and pensions rising from ₹2,899 crore (2019-20) to ₹3,668 crore.
- Across States, the author estimates salary spending rises from a reported 2.5% of GDP to about 4.1% once omitted components are added.
- What: the IMF’s Government Finance Statistics Manual, the international standard for compiling fiscal statistics, aligned with the System of National Accounts (SNA 2008).
- Core idea: records government activity on an accrual basis and separates three kinds of transaction:
- investment in non-financial assets (real capital);
- transactions in financial assets (loans, equity);
- incurrence of liabilities (borrowing).
- Coverage: the whole general government sector — not just the budget — which is why it captures off-budget entities and implicit liabilities.
- Why it matters for India: Indian accounts are largely cash-based and use their own classifications. A GFSM layer lets one see which spending actually builds assets.
Once spending is measured correctly, the author’s next step is to ask what each rupee achieves. Each major programme should be assessed for beneficiaries, unit costs, leakage, duplication and outcomes. Effective schemes should be protected or expanded; ineffective ones redesigned or discontinued.
- Strength: the approach shifts the welfare debate from rhetoric (“freebies” versus “welfare”) to evidence, and from cutting to reallocating spending.
- Caution: some returns on welfare — in nutrition, schooling and women’s workforce participation — take time and are hard to quantify. Narrow cost-benefit tests may undervalue them.
- Capacity: reconciling to GFSM and consolidating the accounts of hundreds of entities requires skilled staff and data systems that most States lack.
- Federal angle: State fiscal space also depends on tax devolution, the end of GST compensation (June 2022) and conditions on borrowing. Expenditure reform is necessary but not sufficient.
- Wider relevance: echoes earlier reform ideas — outcome budgeting (Centre, 2005), the Expenditure Management Commission (2014) and accrual accounting recommended by successive Finance Commissions.
Rising committed expenditure and fragmented fiscal reporting constrain the developmental capacity of Indian States. Discuss the need for State-level expenditure reform, and how international standards such as the IMF’s GFSM 2014 can improve fiscal transparency. 15 marks · 250 words
Smaller Cities Can Lead the Way on Climate Resilience: Building Heat and Flood Resilience into How Cities Grow
Heat and floods are usually treated as separate problems, yet both are shaped by the same decisions on land, buildings and infrastructure. The authors argue that India’s smaller cities, which are still expanding, have the best chance to build resilience into their growth rather than retrofitting it later.
- IPCC (set up in 1988 by the WMO and UNEP): its Sixth Assessment Report (AR6, 2021–23) popularised climate-resilient development — pursuing adaptation, emissions reduction and sustainable development together.
- Long-Term Low Emissions Development Strategy (LT-LEDS): submitted by India to the UNFCCC at COP27 (2022), with sustainable urbanisation as one of its pillars.
- National Mission on Sustainable Habitat: one of the eight missions under the National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC, 2008).
- India Cooling Action Plan (ICAP, 2019): MoEFCC’s 20-year plan (to 2037-38). India was among the first countries to adopt one; the authors cite its estimate that design and efficiency could cut cooling demand by about 20%.
- Recent steps cited: an Urban Flood Risk Management Programme covering 18 cities, and the recognition of heat as a notified disaster, which allows disaster funds to be used for heat resilience. Heatwaves were earlier outside the list of 12 nationally notified disasters, though States could use up to 10% of SDRF for locally declared disasters.
- Governance: the 74th Constitutional Amendment (1992) and the Twelfth Schedule list urban planning, regulation of land use, urban forestry and protection of the environment among municipal functions.
- Where people live: more than half of India’s urban population lives in cities with fewer than one million residents.
- Still to be built: by estimates the authors cite, over 50% of the housing needed by 2070 has not yet been built.
- Avoiding lock-in: big cities face costly retrofits. Smaller cities can still choose how roads, drainage, buildings and public spaces are laid out — decisions that lock in either high energy use and vulnerability or resilient, resource-efficient neighbourhoods.
- Heat–energy link: a study of 88 Indian cities finds that land use, building density, urban sprawl and green cover shape cooling demand, not just rising temperatures.
- Mainstreaming: climate risk must become part of routine master planning, project appraisal and investment decisions, not a separate add-on.
- Coordination: development authorities, public works departments, utilities and municipalities currently decide separately and need aligned investments.
- Finance: resilience can begin with how existing municipal revenues, transfers and scheme grants are designed. CSR, impact investment and development finance can fund pilots and generate evidence for scaling.
- Evidence plus local knowledge: spatial data, risk and vulnerability assessments and scenario models work best combined with how residents actually walk, commute and use public spaces, rather than copying big-city models.
- Ahmedabad Heat Action Plan (2013): the first such plan in South Asia — early warnings, cool shelters and health-system preparedness.
- Telangana Cool Roof Policy (2023): a State policy promoting reflective roofs to cut indoor heat and cooling loads.
- NDMA Guidelines on Urban Flooding (2010): the first national guidance treating urban floods as distinct from riverine floods.
- Blue-green infrastructure: restoring lakes, wetlands and natural drainage channels (the “sponge city” idea) to handle runoff and reduce heat together.
- Capacity gap: smaller cities have the thinnest planning and engineering staff, weakest own revenues and the least data — the very tools the authors recommend.
- Incomplete devolution: three decades after the 74th Amendment, many Twelfth Schedule functions remain with State parastatals, so the coordination the authors seek requires State-level reform.
- Informal growth: much expansion in smaller towns and peri-urban areas is unplanned, outside master plans and building regulations.
- Opportunity remains real: early planning is far cheaper than retrofitting, which makes the authors’ “window of opportunity” argument persuasive.
“Heat and floods in Indian cities are shaped by the same decisions on land, buildings and infrastructure.” In this context, discuss why smaller cities offer an opportunity for climate-resilient urban development, and the institutional reforms needed to realise it. 15 marks · 250 words


