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Rising evaporative demand spotlights India’s data and research gap

What is Evaporative Demand?

  • A measure of how much water the atmosphere ‘wants’ to pull from land and vegetation.
  • Depends on temperature, humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation.
  • Increasing due to global warming, making the air “thirstier”.

Relevance: GS 3(Environment and Ecology)

Concept of ‘Thirstwave’

Coined by Kukal & Hobbins (2025):

  • A thirstwave = ≥3 days of extreme evaporative demand.
  • Found to be more frequent, intense, and longer over time.
  • Different from heatwaves; includes moisture stress along with heat.

 Agricultural Implications

  • Even with adequate irrigation, crop water use now depends on atmospheric demand.

Higher evaporative demand leads to:

  • Increased water loss
  • Drier soils and crops
  • Potential stress on food security and irrigation planning

Measurement Tool: Standardised Short-Crop Evapotranspiration

  • Represents the water used by 12 cm high grass under ideal conditions.
  • Simplifies complex evapotranspiration dynamics by assuming constant vegetation.
  • Rising values reflect more intense weather parameters (heat, wind, radiation).

 India’s Historical Data & Contradictions

  • Earlier (pre-1997) studies (e.g., by Chattopadhyay & Hulme) found decreased evaporation, despite warming — due to high humidity.
  • Future warming, however, expected to override humidity’s dampening effect, increasing evaporative demand.

 Recent Indian Research

  • Studies (e.g., IIT Roorkee 2022) noted:
  • Increased evapotranspiration in North India, Western & Eastern Himalayas.
  • Could indicate vegetation growth or agri-expansion.
  • Yet, data on extreme thirstwaves in India is lacking.

 Research and Policy Gaps

India lacks:

  • Real-time data on evaporative demand extremes.
  • Crop-wise sensitivity studies to thirstwaves.
  • Policy frameworks to integrate thirstwave risk into agri-planning.
  • Current efforts (e.g., by Kukal & Shailza Sharma) aim to fill this void for South Asia.

 Global South Vulnerability

  • Greater exposure and weaker resilience in countries like India.
  • Worst thirstwaves may occur in unexpected regions — necessitating re-evaluation of climate adaptation strategies.

 Way Forward

  • Incorporate thirstwave tracking in IMD & agri advisories.
  • Train farmers and water managers on new irrigation demands.
  • Boost climate-resilient research funding, especially in Global South.

June 2025
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