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Editorials/Opinions Analysis For UPSC 02 January 2026

  1. Mob rule
  2. Between India and EU, a carbon gap and an FTA bridge


Why in News?

  • Late-2025 saw multiple mob-violence incidents across Kerala, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, Uttarakhand and elsewhere where Indian citizens — mostly migrant workers and students — were falsely branded as Bangladeshis” or Chinese and attacked.
  • The pattern reflects:
    • Rising xenophobic profiling based on language, region, appearance, or presumed nationality.
    • A spill-over from political rhetoric on “illegal infiltration”, particularly in election-bound regions.

Relevance

  • GS-II (Polity & Governance)
    • Vulnerable sections, constitutional morality, rule of law, federal policing responsibility
    • Role of civil services, Centre–State coordination in law & order
  • GS-III (Internal Security)
    • Social tensions, misinformation, mob mobilisation through digital platforms
    • Impact on labour mobility, urban security, and economic activity

Practice Question

  • Mob violence poses a serious challenge to constitutional morality and rule of law in India. Examine the structural causes behind the recent surge in identity-linked mob attacks and suggest institutional reforms to address them. (250 Words)

What is Happening?

  • Mob violence / lynching = extra-judicial killing/assault by a group claiming to enforce “suspicion-based justice”.
  • Victims in these cases: Indian internal migrants and youth from the Northeast, Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh etc.
  • Trigger factors: identity demands, accent/language suspicion, racialised stereotypes, rumours amplified through social media.

Scale, Patterns & Data 

  • Internal migration:
    • Census 2011 — 45.6 crore migrants (~37% of population); 2020-25 estimates place internal migrants at 55–60 crore.
    • High-dependence states for migrant labour: Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Gujarat.
  • Hate/mob crimes data:
    • NCRB does not maintain a separate “lynching” category; such crimes appear under murder/rioting/assault.
    • Independent trackers (academia/civil society) show post-2015 rise in identity-linked mob violence, especially where rumours of theft, cow-related suspicion, or “illegal immigrant” labels are invoked.
  • Northeast discrimination trend:
    • Multiple commissions have highlighted racial slurs, stereotyping, and targeted assaults against people from Northeastern states in metros.

(Data caveat: absence of a statutory category means under-reporting and classification gaps.)

Drivers — What Explains the Spike?

  • Political narrative effects
    • Election-time messaging around illegal infiltration” (Bangladesh-linked) normalises suspicion against Bengali-speaking and migrant communities.
  • Stereotyping & racialisation
    • Northeastern Indians misidentified as “foreigners/Chinese”; linguistic profiling of workers from Bengal/Odisha.
  • Weak deterrence
    • Slow trials, poor investigation quality, low conviction in crowd-violence cases → mob impunity.
  • Digital rumours & performative violence
    • Filming and circulating assaults on social media → copy-cat behaviour and mob mobilisation.
  • Labour precarity
    • Migrant workers lack documents, networks, and bargaining power, increasing vulnerability to vigilante suspicion.

Legal–Constitutional Lens

  • Fundamental rights violated:
    • Art. 14 (equality), Art. 15 (non-discrimination), Art. 19(1)(d)/(e) (movement/residence), Art. 21 (life & dignity).
  • Applicable penal provisions:
    • IPC/CrPC: 302 (murder), 307 (attempt to murder), 323/325 (hurt), 341/342 (wrongful restraint), 153A, 295A, 505 (hate speech & provocation), criminal conspiracy, unlawful assembly.
  • Supreme Court — Tehseen Poonawalla (2018) guidelines:
    • State nodal officers, preventive policing, fast-track trials, victim compensation, accountability of district administration. Implementation remains patchy.
  • State-level initiatives (uneven):
    • Anti-lynching bills/ordinances proposed or passed in some states (e.g., Rajasthan, Jharkhand, Manipur) — national framework still absent.

Governance & Security Implications

  • Internal security: fear among migrants → labour shortages, informalisation, social unrest in host states.
  • Federal labour economy: sectors such as construction, hospitality, logistics, plantations depend heavily on migrants — violence threatens supply chains.
  • Social cohesion: normalisation of vigilantism erodes rule of law and police legitimacy.
  • Human rights & international image: recurring mob violence undermines India’s constitutional morality and commitments to equality and dignity.

Editorial Overview

  • Rhetoric around “infiltrators” creates moral licence for mobs to police identities.
  • Policing responses limited to post-facto arrests rather than preventive intelligence, hotspot monitoring, and narrative correction.
  • Absence of centralised data & statutory category prevents targeted policy action.

Way Forward — Policy & Administrative Actions

  • Implement SC anti-lynching guidelines in letter and spirit; designate nodal officers and district-level tasking.
  • Create a statutory offence of mob lynching with command-responsibility and time-bound trial provisions.
  • Data architecture: NCRB to add distinct categories for hate/mob crimes; disaggregate by motive and victim profile.
  • Police reforms:
    • Rumour-control protocols, social-media monitoring, early-warning grids in migrant-dense localities.
    • Witness/victim protection & compensation.
  • Political and civic messaging: bipartisan condemnation; avoidance of xenophobic election rhetoric; community outreach with employers and labour contractors.
  • Migrant inclusion measures: registration, helplines, inter-state coordination cells, awareness of legal rights; grievance kiosks at workplaces and transport hubs.
  • Education & sensitisation: anti-discrimination campaigns in schools, workplaces, and transport systems — especially regarding Northeast communities and inter-state migrants.


Why in News?

  • From 1 January 2026, the EU will start imposing full tariffs under the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) on imports of steel, aluminium, cement, fertilizers, electricity, hydrogen, etc.
  • Indian steel and aluminium exports to the EU already face higher compliance costs under the transition phase since October 2023.
  • CBAM is emerging as a trade barrier + climate instrument, impacting India–EU trade, FTA negotiations, industrial competitiveness, and carbon pricing strategy.

Relevance  

  • GS-III (Economy | Environment | Industry)
    • Green industrial transition, trade-climate nexus, carbon pricing, competitiveness
    • Impact on steel, aluminium and MSME supply chains

Practice Question

  • CBAM represents the emergence of climate-aligned protectionism in global trade. Analyse its likely impact on Indias export competitiveness and suggest a policy roadmap for adaptation and resilience. (250 Words)

What is CBAM?

  • CBAM is the EU’s mechanism to equalise carbon costs between:
    • EU producers covered under EU-ETS (carbon pricing)
    • Foreign exporters whose countries lack similar carbon pricing.
  • Importers must purchase CBAM certificates proportional to the embedded emissions during production.
  • Covers only Scope-1 & Scope-2 emissions (fuel + electricity used in production).
    Transport and downstream emissions are excluded.

Goal: Prevent carbon leakage (firms shifting production to low-regulation countries) and protect EU industry.

What Changes for India?

  • The tax may reduce 16–22% of the price actually received by Indian exporters due to:
    • certificate cost,
    • compliance expenses,
    • buyer price discounts,
    • renegotiated contracts.
  • In FY2025, exports of Indian steel & aluminium to EU = $5.8 billion
    — already down 24% YoY, despite no carbon tax yet → anticipatory compliance burden.
  • EU buyers are demanding lower prices upfront to hedge expected CBAM costs.

How CBAM Liability is Calculated ?

  • Benchmark EU carbon price ≈ 80 per tonne of CO
  • If exporters don’t submit verified plant-level data:
    • EU applies default emission values (30–80% higher) → increases payable tax.
  • From 2026, emissions must be ISO-14065 verified by EU-approved auditors → increases compliance cost.

Sector-wise Impact

Steel — Highest Risk

  • Blast Furnace–Basic Oxygen Furnace (BF-BOF):
    • Highest emissions → CBAM burden ~€80–€120 per tonne
    • Could raise costs by 50–70%.
  • Gas-based Direct Reduced Iron (DRI): Lower CBAM hit.
  • Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) using scrap: lowest burden — favoured by CBAM.

Aluminium

  • Electricity-intensive → emissions linked to grid carbon factor.
  • EU share in India’s aluminium exports ≈ 10% of global trade exposure.

Competitiveness Comparison

  • Chinas carbon price10% of EU level → much lower CBAM pass-through.
  • Rich countries can absorb climate costs better → competitive asymmetry.

Key Economic Effects Highlighted

  • Pricing pressure on exporters
    (buyers discount prices to offset CBAM).
  • Contract renegotiations and reopening of long-term supply agreements.
  • Shift in supply chains toward:
    • low-carbon technology,
    • scrap-based/EAF routes,
    • relocation to countries with carbon pricing alignment.

Compliance & Governance Gaps

  • Many firms lack:
    • plant-level emissions measurement systems,
    • verifiable data & auditors,
    • internal carbon accounting.
  • Risk of exporters relying on default EU emission factorshigher tax liability.

Opportunities if India Responds Strategically

  • Firms that measure accurately, verify early, and decarbonise can:
    • retain margins,
    • avoid deep price cuts,
    • secure contracts via carbon-differentiated pricing.
  • CBAM can act as a push factor for low-carbon industrial transition.

Broader Trade & Policy Implications

  • CBAM overlaps with India–EU FTA negotiations:
    • India seeks market access + rules discipline.
    • EU uses CBAM as climate-trade conditionality.
  • The editorial frames CBAM also as:
    • industrial protection + revenue generation tool for the EU,
    • not merely a climate instrument.

Strategic Risks for India

  • Export erosion in high-emission sectors.
  • Rising compliance costs → affects MSME suppliers.
  • Possible trade diversion away from EU.
  • Competitive disadvantage without:
    • domestic carbon market,
    • industrial decarbonisation incentives.

Policy Priorities for India

  • Domestic Carbon Pricing / Carbon Market (phased, industry-linked).
  • Green steel pathway:
    • EAF transition, scrap recycling, hydrogen pilots.
  • National MRV framework:
    • plant-level Measurement–Reporting–Verification.
  • Financial support for energy-efficient retrofits.
  • FTA strategy:
    • secure transition support,
    • mutual recognition of carbon accounting systems.
  • Data ecosystem:
    • emissions registries, verified auditors, standardised protocols.

Critical Assessment

  • CBAM reflects climate-aligned protectionism — climate goal + competitiveness shield.
  • For India, the risk is not only tax burden but structural competitiveness loss if industrial decarbonisation lags.
  • Early compliance + technology transition is economically superior to late adjustment.

January 2026
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