Indian Economy under Different PMs

Indian Economy under Different PMs | Legacy IAS
Legacy IAS

Evolution of Indian Economy under Different Prime Ministers

A PM-wise analytical study material covering ideology, reforms, growth outcomes, institutional changes & comparative evaluation — with PYQ analysis and answer frameworks for UPSC Mains.

GS-II & GS-IIIPolitical EconomyMains + Essay + Interview
Prepared by Legacy IAS · Bangalore
Section 01

Introduction: Political Economy of Indian Development


India’s economic trajectory has been profoundly shaped by the vision, ideology, and political circumstances of its Prime Ministers. In India’s parliamentary democracy, the PM is the chief architect of economic direction — setting priorities, building institutions, responding to crises, and making ideological choices that shape the economy for decades.

Understanding India’s economic evolution through a PM-wise lens reveals how ideology, political compulsions, institutional capacity, and global context interact to produce economic outcomes. Each PM inherited specific structural conditions and faced unique challenges; their responses — and failures — define the arc of Indian development.

Timeline — PMs & Economic Phases
Nehru
Planning
Indira
Nationalise
Rajiv
Tech push
Rao
LPG 1991
Vajpayee
Infra
Manmohan
High growth
Modi
Structural
Section 02

Methodology: Evaluating PM-wise Performance


CriterionWhat to Assess
Growth trajectoryGDP growth acceleration or deceleration; structural transformation
Reform intensityScale of policy reforms — deregulation, institutional creation, legislative change
Social outcomesPoverty reduction, employment, inequality, human development
Institutional changeNew institutions, regulatory architecture, governance quality
Fiscal disciplineDeficit management, public debt, macroeconomic stability
External contextGlobal conditions, oil shocks, geopolitical shifts beyond PM’s control
Mains Strategy

When UPSC asks about a PM’s legacy, use this multi-criteria framework to evaluate — showing balanced judgement across growth, equity, institutions, and constraints.

Section 03

Jawaharlal Nehru Era (1947–1964)


PM EraJawaharlal Nehru
1947–1964 · Architect of the Mixed Economy
  • Mixed economy model: State control of “commanding heights” (steel, heavy industry, energy) with regulated private enterprise.
  • Five Year Plans: Planning Commission (1950); First Plan (agriculture); Second Plan (Mahalanobis Model — heavy industrialisation).
  • Institution building: BHEL, SAIL, HMT, IITs, IIMs, CSIR, DRDO, ISRO, Atomic Energy Commission.
  • Import substitution: High tariffs, industrial licensing, restricted foreign investment — self-reliance as philosophy.
AchievementsLimitations
Built industrial base from near-zero“Hindu rate of growth” (~3.5%)
World-class institutions (IITs, ISRO)Licence-Permit Raj stifled entrepreneurship
Food security foundationsNeglected primary education & health
Democratic planning — unique modelOver-centralised; weak exports
Balanced View

Nehru’s legacy is contextually appropriate but structurally limiting. Planning was rational for a capital-starved post-colonial economy, but its perpetuation beyond its useful life created weaknesses that culminated in the 1991 crisis.

Section 04

Lal Bahadur Shastri Era (1964–1966)


PM EraLal Bahadur Shastri
1964–1966 · Short but Consequential
  • “Jai Jawan Jai Kisan”: Elevated agriculture to the centre of economic policy — decisive pivot from Nehru’s industrial focus.
  • Green Revolution foundations: HYV seeds, modern inputs, agricultural research (IARI).
  • Food Corporation of India (1965): Institutional foundation for procurement, storage, and food security.
  • 1965 War: Defence-economy nexus; demonstrated security constraints on economic policy.
Legacy

Shastri’s tenure marked the critical turn toward agricultural self-sufficiency that defined the Green Revolution. His legacy is institutional rather than policy-expansive.

Section 05

Indira Gandhi Era (1966–77; 1980–84)


PM EraIndira Gandhi
1966–1977 & 1980–1984 · Nationalisation, Centralisation & Social Justice

First Phase (1966–1977)

  • Bank nationalisation (1969): 14 banks nationalised — expanded credit to agriculture and priority sectors.
  • Garibi Hatao (1971): Poverty alleviation as political-economic agenda; targeted programmes (IRDP).
  • Green Revolution: Food self-sufficiency achieved in wheat and rice.
  • Privy purses abolished (1971): Completed dismantling of feudal privileges.
  • MRTP Act & FERA: Tightened regulation; constrained large business and foreign investment.

Second Phase (1980–1984)

  • Selective pragmatic liberalisation; Sixth Plan focused on productivity and modernisation.
  • IMF loan (1981): Signalled fiscal stress and beginning of external conditionality.
PolicyPositive ImpactNegative Impact
Bank nationalisationRural credit expansion; financial inclusionPoliticised lending; NPA buildup
Garibi HataoFirst systematic poverty targetingLeakages; limited structural impact
Green RevolutionFood self-sufficiencyRegional concentration; ecological costs
MRTP/FERAPrevented monopolyStifled innovation; Licence Raj deepened
Critical Assessment

Indira prioritised equity over efficiency — achieving social justice gains (banking, food security) at the cost of growth, fiscal discipline, and entrepreneurial dynamism.

Section 06

Morarji Desai & Janata Period (1977–1980)


PM EraMorarji Desai / Charan Singh
1977–1980 · Post-Emergency Transition
  • Gandhian economics revival: Small-scale industry emphasis; village self-sufficiency; decentralisation.
  • Industrial Policy (1977): Reserved more sectors for small-scale industry.
  • Fiscal conservatism attempted but undermined by political instability and coalition fragility.
Assessment

Significant for democratic restoration more than economic transformation. Brief tenure and internal instability precluded sustained policy shifts.

Section 07

Rajiv Gandhi Era (1984–1989)


PM EraRajiv Gandhi
1984–1989 · Technology, Telecom & Seeds of Liberalisation
  • Telecom & technology push: Sam Pitroda’s C-DOT; computerisation drive; vision of modernised India.
  • Partial liberalisation: Selective delicensing; broadbanding of capacity; relaxed MRTP constraints.
  • Tax reforms: Reduced personal and corporate tax rates; simplified structure.
  • Growth acceleration: GDP reached ~5.5% — significant improvement, but fuelled by unsustainable borrowing.
Transition Era

Rajiv’s tenure was a bridge between planning and liberalisation. Technology vision and partial reforms signalled direction, but fiscal profligacy directly contributed to the 1991 crisis.

Section 08

V.P. Singh & Chandra Shekhar (1989–1991)


PM EraV.P. Singh / Chandra Shekhar
1989–1991 · Crisis Prelude
  • Political instability: Three PMs in two years; minority governments; governance paralysis.
  • Rising fiscal deficits: Debt burden escalated; spending exceeded revenue consistently.
  • Gulf War (1990–91): Oil price spike + remittance decline → BOP stress compounded.
  • Soviet collapse: India’s largest rupee-trade partner disrupted.
  • Gold pledge (Jan 1991): 47 tonnes pledged to Bank of England — symbolic crisis nadir.
Significance

The accumulation phase of the 1991 crisis. Political instability prevented corrective action; external shocks exposed decades of structural weakness.

Section 09

P.V. Narasimha Rao Era (1991–1996)


Turning PointP.V. Narasimha Rao
1991–1996 · Architect of Liberalisation

With FM Manmohan Singh, PM Rao initiated the most comprehensive transformation of India’s economic policy since independence.

  • Liberalisation: Industrial licensing abolished for most sectors; MRTP restrictions removed; tax rates reduced.
  • Privatisation: Disinvestment of PSU equity; private entry in telecom, aviation, banking, insurance.
  • Globalisation: Customs duties slashed (150%→40%); rupee devalued; current-account convertibility; FDI liberalised.
  • Financial reform: Narasimham Committee; SEBI empowered; capital markets opened.
Pre-1991Post-1991
Industrial licensing for most sectorsLicensing abolished; only 6 strategic sectors retained
Public sector monopoly in banking, telecomPrivate entry; competition introduced
Peak customs ~150%Progressively reduced to ~10–15%
FDI restricted; FERA regimeFDI liberalised; automatic route for most sectors
Legacy

Rao’s reforms were a watershed — irreversibly shifting India from state-directed to market-oriented. His political courage (minority government, no reform mandate) makes this among the most consequential PM-ships in Indian economic history.

Section 10

Atal Bihari Vajpayee Era (1998–2004)


PM EraAtal Bihari Vajpayee
1998–2004 · Infrastructure, Disinvestment & Reform Consolidation
  • Golden Quadrilateral & PMGSY: Transformative highway and rural road programme connecting India.
  • Telecom revolution: NTP 1999 → private competition → mobile explosion (5M→50M+ phones).
  • Disinvestment: Strategic sale of BALCO, Hindustan Zinc, VSNL — most aggressive privatisation drive.
  • FRBM Act (2003): Institutionalised fiscal discipline with deficit reduction targets.
  • IT boom: Y2K catalyst; STPI scheme; India emerged as global IT services hub.
  • Pokhran-II (1998): Nuclear capability demonstrated; managed post-sanctions economy.
Assessment

Vajpayee proved reform continuity across political divides. Infrastructure and disinvestment legacy endures. “India Shining” was politically premature — urban growth hadn’t reached rural India.

Section 11

UPA — Manmohan Singh Era (2004–2014)


PM EraManmohan Singh (UPA-I & II)
2004–2014 · High Growth, Welfare Expansion & Policy Paralysis

UPA-I (2004–2009)

  • Highest sustained growth: ~8.5% average, peaking ~9.3% (2005–08).
  • Rights-based welfare: MGNREGA, RTI Act, NRHM, Forest Rights Act — unprecedented welfare expansion.
  • Nuclear deal (2008): Ended India’s nuclear isolation.

UPA-II (2009–2014)

  • GFC response: Fiscal stimulus prevented recession but expanded deficits.
  • “Policy paralysis”: Decision-making slowed; corruption scandals (2G, coalgate).
  • Inflation: CPI persistently 8–10%; eroded confidence.
  • Food Security Act & LARR Act (2013): Landmark welfare legislation.
DimensionAchievementCriticism
GrowthFastest growth phase in history (UPA-I)Sharp deceleration in UPA-II (~5%)
WelfareRights-based architecture (MGNREGA, RTI)Fiscal costs; implementation gaps
GovernanceRTI empowered citizensCorruption scandals; coalition constraints
Section 12

NDA — Narendra Modi Era (2014–Present)


PM EraNarendra Modi
2014–Present · Structural Reform, Welfare Targeting & Digital Push
  • GST (2017): Unified national indirect tax — eliminated cascading taxes; single national market.
  • Insolvency & Bankruptcy Code (2016): Transformed creditor-debtor relations; stressed asset resolution.
  • Demonetisation (2016): ₹500/₹1000 notes withdrawn — contested; digital payments surged.
  • JAM Trinity: Jan Dhan + Aadhaar + Mobile → DBT reducing welfare leakages.
  • Make in India & PLI: Manufacturing revival through production-linked incentives.
  • Infrastructure: National Infrastructure Pipeline; PM Gati Shakti; record highways.
  • Pandemic (2020–21): Atmanirbhar Bharat package; free food grain (PM-GKAY); vaccination drive.
ReformAchievementCritique
GSTUnified market; better complianceMultiple rates; SME burden
IBCMajor NPA resolution; credit cultureLow recovery rates; NCLT delays
DemonetisationDigital push; formalisationGDP disruption; limited black money impact
JAM/DBT500M+ accounts; leakage reductionDigital divide; exclusion errors
PLIElectronics FDI risingManufacturing still ~15% GDP
Ongoing Assessment

Most ambitious structural reform since 1991 — GST, IBC, and digital infrastructure are transformative. However, employment, manufacturing depth, and inequality remain the key unresolved questions.

Section 13

Comparative Analysis across Prime Ministers


PMGrowth ModelKey InstitutionTop AchievementPrincipal Limitation
NehruState-led planningPlanning Commission, IITs, ISROIndustrial base from zeroLicence Raj; slow growth
ShastriAgriculture-firstFCIFood security pivotShort tenure
IndiraNationalisation; equityNationalised banksFinancial inclusion; food securityCentralisation; fiscal stress
RajivTechnology; partial openingC-DOT; telecomModernisation visionFiscal slippage
RaoMarket liberalisationSEBI; FDI regime1991 LPG — watershedSocial costs; incomplete
VajpayeeInfra & disinvestmentFRBM; Golden QuadrilateralInfra revolutionRural disconnect
ManmohanHigh growth + welfare rightsMGNREGA; RTIFastest growth phasePolicy paralysis (UPA-II)
ModiStructural reform + digitalGST; IBC; JAM/DBTTax unification; digital infraEmployment; manufacturing
Section 14

Structural Continuities & Discontinuities


Continuities

  • Welfare commitment: Every PM expanded welfare — tools changed (community development → rights legislation → DBT), commitment is constant.
  • State role: The state never truly “retreated” — even post-1991, India remains one of the largest government employers and regulators.
  • Agricultural politics: No PM has successfully reformed farm subsidies or land laws without backlash.

Discontinuities

  • 1991: Planning → Market — the most decisive structural break.
  • 2003–04: FRBM institutionalised fiscal discipline.
  • 2016–17: GST & IBC — structural transformation of the business environment.
Dialectical Framework
Planning State
(Nehru → Indira)
Market Reforms
(Rao → Vajpayee)
Welfare-Market Synthesis
(Manmohan → Modi)
Section 15

Growth vs Inclusion Debate


Three Approaches

  • Trickle-down: Growth creates jobs and reduces poverty — state enables growth through deregulation. (Rao/Vajpayee eras)
  • Rights-based welfare: Growth alone insufficient — state must guarantee basic rights through legislation. (UPA/Manmohan era — MGNREGA, RTI, FSA)
  • Targeted welfare: Use technology (JAM/DBT) to deliver welfare efficiently to the genuinely needy. (Modi era)

The Unresolved Challenge

Across all PMs, the employment challenge remains India’s most critical unsolved problem. Manufacturing hasn’t absorbed surplus agricultural labour; services create limited high-skill jobs; ~90% of employment remains informal. This is the defining economic challenge regardless of political leadership.

Section 16

PYQ Heat Map


YearQuestion ThemePM/Period LinkPaperMarksTrend
2023Economic reforms & inclusive growthPost-1991 PMsGS-III15High
2022Disinvestment & PSU reformVajpayee / ModiGS-III10Medium
2021Agricultural reforms & market linkagesCross-PMGS-III15High
2020Fiscal policy & pandemic responseModiGS-III15High
2019Make in India & industrial policyNehru / ModiGS-III10Medium
2018FDI & economic developmentRao / ModiGS-III10Medium
2017Planning vs market; liberalisation outcomesNehru → RaoGS-III15High
2016GST & tax reformsModiGS-III10Medium
2015NITI Aayog vs Planning CommissionNehru / ModiGS-II/III10High
2014Inclusive growth & poverty reductionCross-PMGS-III15High
Trend Analysis

PM-linked economic questions are perennial across GS-II, GS-III, Essay, and Interview. Recent trends focus on post-reform challenges, institutional evolution, and the continuity-vs-change debate. Purely historical questions are rare — UPSC expects analytical, evaluative, PM-comparative answers.

Section 17

UPSC Mains Questions with Answer Frameworks


10-Marker — Model Question
“How did economic planning under Nehru shape India’s long-term development?”
Introduction: Colonial legacy — deindustrialised, capital-starved economy. Nehru’s choice of mixed economy and planning (Mahalanobis Model).
Achievements: Industrial base (steel, heavy engineering); institutions (IITs, ISRO, DRDO); food security foundations; democratic planning model unique among post-colonial states.
Limitations: Licence Raj; slow growth (~3.5%); neglect of education/health; over-centralisation; weak exports.
Conclusion: Planning was contextually appropriate but structurally limiting. Its institutional legacy (IITs, ISRO) endures; its regulatory legacy (Licence Raj) had to be dismantled in 1991.
15-Marker — Model Question
“Evaluate India’s economic transformation since 1991 in the context of political leadership.”
Introduction: 1991 BOP crisis as trigger; Rao-Manmohan reforms as watershed. Subsequent PMs continued and deepened reforms.
Rao (1991–96): LPG reforms — delicensing, trade liberalisation, FDI. Structural break from planning era.
Vajpayee (1998–04): Infrastructure (Golden Quadrilateral); disinvestment; FRBM; telecom revolution. Reform continuity across political divide.
Manmohan (2004–14): Fastest growth phase (~8.5%); rights-based welfare (MGNREGA, RTI). But policy paralysis in UPA-II; inflation and CAD.
Modi (2014–): Structural reform (GST, IBC); digital welfare (JAM/DBT); PLI manufacturing push. Employment and inequality remain challenges.
Conclusion: Reform has been bipartisan and cumulative. Each PM built on predecessors’ work. The unfinished agenda — employment, manufacturing, inclusion — transcends party lines and defines India’s future growth challenge.

Additional Practice Questions

Practice Bank

Q1 (10): “Compare the economic philosophies of Nehru and Narasimha Rao.”

Q2 (15): “India’s welfare architecture has evolved from patronage to rights to targeting.” Trace this evolution with reference to different PMs.

Q3 (Essay): “India’s economic story is one of institutional continuity through political change.”

Q4 (10): “Examine Vajpayee’s contribution to India’s infrastructure and reform landscape.”

Q5 (Interview): “Which PM had the most transformative impact on the Indian economy and why?”

Section 18

Conclusion & Way Forward


India’s economic evolution under successive Prime Ministers reveals a remarkable pattern: ideological diversity but institutional continuity. Each PM — from Nehru’s planning to Modi’s digital reforms — responded to the constraints and opportunities of their era, building incrementally on predecessors’ achievements while correcting their failures.

Key Lessons

  • Institutions outlast individuals: The IITs, RBI, SEBI, GST Council, and MGNREGA endure beyond the PMs who created them. Building institutional quality matters more than any single policy.
  • Reform is bipartisan: Both Congress and BJP-led governments have pursued reform when circumstances demanded it. Economic policy transcends party ideology more than political rhetoric suggests.
  • Context determines policy: Planning was right for the 1950s; liberalisation for the 1990s; digital welfare for the 2020s. Dogmatic adherence to any ideology is counterproductive.
  • Inclusion must be designed: No PM has solved the employment-inclusion challenge through growth alone. Active state intervention for education, health, skilling, and social protection remains essential.

Future Priorities

  • Manufacturing depth: Moving beyond assembly to deep manufacturing with domestic value addition.
  • Employment-intensive growth: Labour law reform, MSME support, and skill development for the demographic dividend.
  • Human capital: NEP 2020 implementation; healthcare reform; nutrition and early childhood development.
  • Green transition: Renewable energy, circular economy, and climate-resilient development.
  • Institutional reform: Civil service reform, judicial reform, and regulatory quality improvement.

India’s economic evolution demonstrates that development is neither a straight line nor a personality-driven story — it is a continuous institutional process of learning, adapting, and reforming within a democratic framework. The challenge ahead is not to choose between any PM’s model, but to synthesise the best of each into a strategy for inclusive, sustainable, and employment-rich growth.

— Prepared by Legacy IAS
Section 19

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)


Quick-reference answers for UPSC preparation on PM-wise economic evolution.

Q1Why study Indian economy through a PM-wise lens?+

In India’s parliamentary system, the PM is the chief architect of economic policy direction. A PM-wise approach reveals how ideology, political context, institutional capacity, and global conditions interact to shape outcomes. UPSC frequently frames questions around specific policy eras (planning, liberalisation, reform continuity) that map directly onto PM tenures. This framework enables analytical, evaluative answers rather than mere chronology.

Q2What was the “Hindu rate of growth”?+

A term coined by economist Raj Krishna describing India’s sluggish GDP growth of ~3.5% p.a. during the Nehru-Indira era (1950s–80s). Despite the name, it had nothing to do with religion — it was a critique of policy choices: over-regulation, import substitution, PSU inefficiency, and the Licence-Permit Raj. Growth accelerated only after liberalisation in 1991.

Q3Which PM initiated the 1991 reforms?+

P.V. Narasimha Rao as Prime Minister and Manmohan Singh as Finance Minister initiated the LPG reforms in July 1991. Rao’s political courage was remarkable — he led a minority government with no popular mandate for reform, yet implemented the most comprehensive economic transformation since independence. The reforms were crisis-driven (BOP crisis, forex at 2 weeks of imports) but strategically designed.

Q4How did Vajpayee contribute to economic reform?+

Vajpayee’s key contributions were: the Golden Quadrilateral highway project (transformative infrastructure), strategic disinvestment of loss-making PSUs (BALCO, Hindustan Zinc), the FRBM Act (institutionalised fiscal discipline), the New Telecom Policy 1999 (mobile revolution), and continued economic liberalisation. He proved that reform continuity was possible across political divides — a critical lesson for Indian political economy.

Q5What was the “policy paralysis” under UPA-II?+

“Policy paralysis” refers to the slowdown in decision-making during Manmohan Singh’s second term (2009–2014). Corruption scandals (2G spectrum, coal allocation), coalition politics, and a cautious approach to reform created a perception that the government had lost momentum. GDP growth decelerated from ~8.5% to ~5%, inflation remained high, and the current account deficit widened. However, UPA-II also passed significant legislation — the Food Security Act and Land Acquisition Act.

Q6What are Modi’s most significant economic reforms?+

The three most structurally significant reforms are: GST (2017) — unified India’s indirect tax system, creating a single national market; Insolvency & Bankruptcy Code (2016) — transformed how stressed assets are resolved, improving credit culture; and the JAM Trinity (Jan Dhan + Aadhaar + Mobile) enabling Direct Benefit Transfer that has dramatically reduced welfare leakages. Demonetisation (2016) remains highly contested. PLI schemes for manufacturing and massive infrastructure investment are ongoing initiatives.

Q7Has economic reform been bipartisan in India?+

Yes — this is a crucial UPSC insight. Both Congress and BJP-led governments have advanced reforms when in power. Rao (Congress) initiated LPG; Vajpayee (BJP) continued with infra and disinvestment; Manmohan (Congress) presided over the highest growth phase; Modi (BJP) implemented GST and IBC. The content of reform has been remarkably continuous across party lines. Political rhetoric may suggest sharp differences, but actual economic policy shows more continuity than discontinuity.

Q8What is the biggest unsolved economic challenge across all PMs?+

Employment generation — no PM has solved this. Manufacturing has remained stuck at ~15–17% of GDP (vs 28–30% in China), failing to absorb surplus agricultural labour. Services create high-value but limited jobs requiring skills most Indians lack. ~90% of employment remains informal. India’s demographic dividend will become a demographic disaster without massive, employment-intensive growth — making this the defining economic challenge regardless of who leads the government.

Q9What is the difference between first- and second-generation reforms?+

First-generation reforms (1991–2004, Rao/Vajpayee): Macro stabilisation, delicensing, trade liberalisation, FDI opening — relatively easier as they involved removing controls. Second-generation reforms (ongoing): Land and labour law reform, agricultural market reform, governance quality, judicial reform, education/healthcare transformation — far harder as they require building new institutions and overcoming entrenched political interests. GST and IBC represent successful second-gen reforms; land and labour reform remain incomplete.

Q10How did Indira Gandhi’s policies shape India’s economy?+

Indira Gandhi’s impact was profound but deeply contested. Positive: Bank nationalisation (1969) democratised credit access; the Green Revolution achieved food self-sufficiency; poverty alleviation became a central policy focus. Negative: MRTP/FERA deepened the Licence Raj; centralisation of economic power stifled private enterprise; fiscal deficits expanded; growth remained sluggish. Her legacy reflects the equity vs efficiency trade-off — she prioritised social justice but at the cost of dynamism and growth.

Q11What caused the 1991 economic crisis?+

The crisis was caused by internal structural weaknesses accumulated over decades (chronic fiscal deficits exceeding 8% GDP, unsustainable external borrowing, PSU losses) compounded by external shocks (Gulf War spiked oil prices, Soviet collapse disrupted trade) and political instability (three PMs in two years). By June 1991, forex reserves covered barely two weeks of imports. India pledged 47 tonnes of gold and sought an IMF emergency loan — creating the conditions for the Rao-Manmohan LPG reforms.

Q12Is this topic frequently asked in UPSC Mains?+

Yes — PM-linked economic questions are perennial across GS-II, GS-III, Essay, and Interview. They appear directly (planning vs market, 1991 reforms, welfare models) and indirectly (industrial policy, fiscal management, inclusive growth). UPSC increasingly expects analytical, evaluative, comparative answers — not just listing policies but assessing outcomes, comparing approaches across PMs, and linking to contemporary relevance. The comparative table and dialectical framework in this material are directly usable in Mains.

Legacy IAS
Prepared by Legacy IAS · Bangalore · For UPSC GS-II, GS-III, Essay & Interview Preparation

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