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New study makes controversial weather-tweaking idea more realistic

Context

  • Climate crisis deepens: Global greenhouse gas emissions are rising; mitigation efforts are inconsistent.
  • Technological fix: Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) proposed as a geoengineering method to cool the planet.
  • Controversial nature: Global side-effects, ethical concerns, and governance challenges make SAI a divisive topic.

Relevance : GS 3(Technology, Disaster Management )

What is Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI)?

  • Method: Injecting tiny reflective aerosols (e.g., sulphur dioxide) into the stratosphere (~20 km altitude) to reflect sunlight and cool Earth.
  • Inspired by volcanoes: Mimics natural aerosol emissions from volcanic eruptions like Mount Pinatubo (1991) which cooled Earth temporarily.
  • Objective: Directly reduce solar radiation reaching Earth’s surface to offset global warming.

Key Innovation in the New Study

  • New approach: Use of existing aircraft (like modified Boeing 777F) to inject aerosols at lower altitudes (~13 km) in polar and extratropical regions.
  • Advantage:
    • Lower technical barriers
    • Cheaper and faster to implement
    • Avoids the need for specially designed high-altitude aircraft

Modeling Results

  • Climate simulation tool used: UK Earth System Model 1 (UKESM1)
  • Findings:
    • Injecting 12 million tonnes of SO/year at 13 km in spring/summer of both hemispheres may cool Earth by 0.6°C.
    • To cool by 1°C, need 21 million tonnes annually at 13 km.
    • More efficient: Only 7.6 million tonnes needed if injected higher in subtropics.

Risks and Challenges

  • Scientific risks:
    • Ozone depletion, acid rain
    • Delayed recovery of ozone hole
    • Uneven cooling (polar > tropical regions)
  • Social and geopolitical concerns:
    • Potential misuse or unilateral deployment
    • Could divert attention from emissions reductions
    • Global impact: One country’s action affects all
  • Governance dilemma:
    • No global framework exists to regulate such interventions
    • 2022: Scholars called for moratorium on solar geoengineering R&D citing fairness and control issues

Is It a Solution?

  • Temporary measure only – Cannot reverse root causes of climate change
  • Could create “moral hazard” – Mask warming and reduce urgency to cut emissions
  • Needs more transparent global dialogue, public accountability, and regulation

June 2025
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