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Record rise in global CO2 concentrations

Why in News ?

  • Event: World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released data showing a record rise in global CO2 concentrations between 2022 and 2024.
  • Key highlights:
    • Global average CO2: 423.1 ppm in 2024, up 2.9 ppm from 2023.
    • Increase since 1990: +51.4 ppm.
    • Global temperature: 2024 was the warmest year on record, 1.55°C above pre-industrial levels.
    • First time the 1.5°C annual average threshold was crossed, a key climate benchmark.

Relevance:

  • GS-3: Environment – Climate change trends, GHG emissions, Global warming, Renewable energy imperatives.
  • GS-2: Governance – International climate governance, Policy responses, Multilateral coordination (UNFCCC, WMO).
  • GS-1: Society – Impact on livelihoods, Migration, and human security.

Understanding CO2 and Greenhouse Gases ?

  • CO2 as a greenhouse gas (GHG):
    • Primary driver of climate change, contributing ~66% of global warming since pre-industrial times.
    • Sources:
      • Natural: respiration, decomposition, wildfires, ocean releases, volcanic eruptions.
      • Anthropogenic: fossil fuel burning, industry, land-use change.
    • Natural sinks (forests, oceans) absorb roughly half of human CO2 emissions.
  • Other GHGs:
    • Methane (CH4): 16% of warming; increased to 1,942 ppb in 2024. Lifetime ~12 years.
    • Nitrous oxide (N2O): 6% of warming; increased to 338 ppb in 2024. Lifetime 100–120 years.

Trends and Record Increase

  • Long-term trend: CO2 has never declined in last 40 years; annual average increase: 0.8 ppm/year since 1957.
  • Acceleration:
    • 1960s: 0.8 ppm/year.
    • 2011–2020: 2.4 ppm/year.
    • 2023–2024: record jump of 3.5 ppm/year, unprecedented.
  • Relative to pre-industrial levels (278.3 ppm): Current CO2 152% higher.

Causes Behind Record Rise

  • Anthropogenic emissions: Continued fossil fuel burning.
  • Natural feedbacks reducing CO2 absorption:
    • Oceans: reduced solubility due to higher temperatures.
    • Forests and land sinks: extreme droughts, wildfires, deforestation reduced CO2 uptake.
  • Exceptional events: Large-scale forest fires in 2024 added extra emissions.
  • Feedback loops: Higher temperatures → less CO2 absorption → more warming → more emissions.

Global Temperature Context

  • 2024: Warmest year recorded, 1.55°C above pre-industrial levels.
  • Significance: Breaching 1.5°C threshold increases risks of:
    • Irreversible climate impacts (sea-level rise, ice melt).
    • Extreme weather events (heatwaves, floods, droughts).
  • GHG contribution:
    • CO2: ~75% of warming in last decade.
    • CH4: shorter-term impact but potent GHG.
    • N2O: long-term atmospheric persistence.

Implications and Challenges

  • Rapid CO2 accumulation signals failure to slow emissions meaningfully despite global efforts.
  • Climate feedbacks exacerbate warming: higher CO2 → reduced absorption → higher temperatures → more CO2 release.
  • Urgency for action: Need enhanced mitigation, renewable energy adoption, forest protection, and global cooperation.

Key Data / Facts

Parameter2024 ValueTrend / Notes
CO2 concentration423.1 ppm+2.9 ppm from 2023, +51.4 ppm since 1990
Global temp above pre-industrial1.55°CFirst annual average >1.5°C
Methane (CH4)1,942 ppb+8 ppb from 2023; avg 10.6 ppb/year last decade
Nitrous oxide (N2O)338 ppb+1 ppb from 2023; avg 1.07 ppb/year last decade
CO2 contribution to warming~66% since pre-industrial; ~75% in last decadePrimary driver of climate change

October 2025
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