The Hindu
UPSC Mains + Prelims
Analysis
Bengaluru Edition | Monday, 23 March 2026
- The USA–Israel military offensive against Iran has triggered a near-total closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil and gas chokepoint.
- Iran has threatened to completely close the Strait if its power plants are attacked, while U.S. President Trump threatened to “obliterate” Iranian power plants.
- India’s Cabinet Committee on Security (CCS), chaired by PM Modi, reviewed the conflict’s short, medium and long-term impacts on India and formed a Group of Ministers (GoM) for a “whole-of-government” response.
- Strait of Hormuz: Narrow waterway between Iran and Oman. Approximately 20% of global oil trade and significant LNG passes through it daily.
- Cabinet Committee on Security (CCS): Highest decision-making body for security matters. PM chairs it; includes Home, Defence, Finance and External Affairs Ministers.
- Article 53 of Constitution: Executive power of the Union vested in the President; exercised by PM-led cabinet collectively.
- India’s LNG Import Dependence (2025): India imported >50% of its natural gas; is the 4th largest buyer globally at 261 lakh metric tonnes.
- Petronet LNG: Operates India’s largest LNG receiving terminal (Dahej, Gujarat). Declared force majeure due to supply disruption.
- Natural Gas Supply Regulation Order, 2026: Government issued this order prioritising the fertilizer sector for gas supply.
- >60% imported LNG affected
- Qatar, UAE, Oman routes blocked
- Urea plants at 50% capacity
- GAIL, IOCL, BPCL curtailed supply
- LNG = feedstock for urea
- 71% urea imports from West Asia
- Kharif sowing season at risk
- Govt. buffer: 61.51 LMT reserves
- Crude oil price surge
- LPG shortage for households
- Inflation in fertilizers/food
- Export routes disrupted
- India’s strategic autonomy tested
- Iran-India relations (Chabahar)
- US-India ties vs. oil interests
- U.S. Special Envoy visiting region
- CCS meeting chaired by PM
- GoM + Group of Secretaries formed
- Diversify fertilizer/chemical sources
- Critical mineral auction launched
- Coal stocks directive issued
- Summer peak demand looming
- Gas-fired plants at risk
- Renewable buffer needed
Structural Vulnerability: India’s import dependence for LNG (>50%) and urea (71% from West Asia) exposes a dangerous single-region concentration risk. Strategic diversification has been slow.
- Force Majeure Risk: Petronet LNG’s declaration signals India’s supply chain fragility. Unlike China, India lacks sufficient strategic gas reserves.
- Fertilizer Subsidy Crisis: Disruption in urea production/import will spike the fertilizer subsidy bill at a time of already strained fiscal resources.
- Diplomatic Tightrope: India has strategic interests with both Iran (Chabahar Port, IPI Pipeline aspirations) and the USA (Quad, defence deals). Choosing sides risks either.
- Global Comparison: Japan and South Korea maintain 90-day strategic petroleum reserves; India’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve covers only ~9–10 days of consumption.
- Whole-of-Government Approach: Formation of GoM is positive but India lacks a dedicated National Energy Security Council unlike major powers.
| Sector | Immediate Risk | Medium-Term Risk |
|---|---|---|
| Fertilizers (Urea) | Plants at 50% capacity | Kharif season shortfall |
| Power | Gas-fired plants shutting | Increased coal dependence |
| LPG / Households | Shortage, price spike | Social unrest, inflation |
| Petrochemicals | Supply chain disruption | Pharma, plastics impact |
| Indian Diaspora | 75 lakh Indians in Gulf at risk | Remittance decline possible |
- Activate Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR)
- Fast-track alternative urea sourcing (Russia, Canada)
- Issue coal stock directives for power plants
- Deploy diplomatic channels with Gulf countries
- Build 90-day strategic gas reserve (like Japan/South Korea)
- Accelerate domestic gas production (KG Basin)
- Diversify LNG suppliers (Australia, USA, Canada)
- Invest in green hydrogen to reduce LNG dependence
- Establish a National Energy Security Council
SDG Linkage: SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy), SDG 2 (Zero Hunger via fertilizer security), SDG 16 (Peace, Justice – conflict resolution)
“The ongoing West Asia conflict has exposed India’s structural vulnerabilities in energy and food security.” Critically examine India’s overdependence on West Asia for LNG and urea imports. Suggest a multi-pronged strategy to achieve energy and food resilience.
GS III – 15 Marks / 250 Words1. It lies between Iran and the United Arab Emirates.
2. About 20% of the world’s total oil supply transits through it.
3. Qatar exports its LNG exclusively through the Strait of Hormuz.
Select the correct answer using the code below:
- (a) 1 and 2 only
- ✓ (b) 2 and 3 only
- (c) 1 and 3 only
- (d) 1, 2 and 3
- The editorial by former CEC S.Y. Quraishi examines the constitutional implications of the BJP’s “double engine sarkar” slogan.
- The slogan implies that States governed by the same party as the Centre receive preferential developmental benefits — raising fundamental questions about fiscal federalism, gubernatorial overreach, and equal citizenship.
- Multiple judicial rulings and Finance Commission deliberations form the backdrop of this debate.
- Article 280: Constitution for Finance Commission (every 5 years) to recommend Centre-State tax sharing.
- Article 263: Inter-State Council for cooperative federalism.
- S.R. Bommai vs Union of India (1994): Landmark SC ruling limiting misuse of Article 356 (President’s Rule).
- State of Punjab vs Governor (2023): SC held Governor cannot stall legislative business through inaction.
- State of Tamil Nadu vs Governor (2025): SC ruled prolonged gubernatorial inaction on Bills is constitutionally impermissible.
- 16th Finance Commission: Currently deliberating; must balance population-based vs. equity-based criteria.
- Divisible Pool: Tax revenues shared with States under Finance Commission formula. Cesses/surcharges fall OUTSIDE this pool.
(Cesses, Transfer Delays)
(Bill withholding)
Condition for Development
(SC Rulings 2023, 2025)
Deliberations
| Federal Friction Point | Constitutional Basis | Current Challenge |
|---|---|---|
| Fiscal Transfers | Art. 280 (Finance Commission) | Cesses/surcharges outside divisible pool; Southern States penalised for demographic success |
| Gubernatorial Delays | Art. 200 (Governor assent) | TN, Kerala Bills stalled; SC had to intervene twice (2023, 2025) |
| Delhi Impasse | Art. 239AA (Delhi NCT) | Elected govt. vs LG; courts forced to arbitrate repeatedly |
| Resource Sharing | Art. 270 (Divisible pool) | Increasing cesses reduce states’ share; Southern states feel penalised |
Key Concern: Article 356 was the older weapon of federalism subversion. Today, the tools are subtler — withholding fiscal transfers, gubernatorial inaction, and centralising executive powers — without triggering constitutional review thresholds.
- Equal Citizenship Violation: If development is contingent on political alignment, citizens in non-BJP states pay equal taxes but receive unequal benefits — a constitutional anomaly.
- Vertical Imbalance: India already has a vertical fiscal imbalance (Centre collects more than it spends locally); political filtering worsens this.
- Cooperative vs. Competitive Federalism: The “double engine” model promotes neither — it promotes partisan federalism.
- Make Finance Commission recommendations binding via statute
- Prescribe 3-month statutory deadline for Governor to act on Bills
- Revitalise Inter-State Council (Art. 263) as genuine forum
- Exclude cesses/surcharges from routine revenue via legislative reform
- Reinforce Bommai precedent for Art. 356 misuse
- Codify Governor’s role as constitutional, not political
- Ensure 16th Finance Commission addresses southern states’ concerns on population criteria
- Promote genuine cooperative federalism (NITI Aayog reform)
“The ‘double engine sarkar’ slogan implicitly undermines the constitutional guarantee of equal citizenship and the spirit of cooperative federalism.” Critically analyse the emerging tensions in India’s federal architecture and suggest structural reforms to restore the federal balance.
GS II – 15 Marks / 250 Words1. It is constituted under Article 280 of the Constitution.
2. Cesses and surcharges levied by the Centre form part of the divisible pool.
3. The 16th Finance Commission is currently deliberating on Centre-State fiscal relations.
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
- (a) 1 only
- (b) 2 and 3 only
- ✓ (c) 1 and 3 only
- (d) 1, 2 and 3
- Several social media accounts of independent journalists and activists were blocked for criticising the government’s West Asia policies and LPG price rise.
- The editorial highlights the systemic misuse of Section 69A of IT Act 2000 and the 2009 Blocking Rules, particularly Rule 16 (confidentiality clause), to silence dissent without judicial oversight.
- Government plans to decentralise blocking powers to multiple Ministries — raising fears of arbitrary censorship at scale.
- Section 69A, IT Act 2000: Allows Central Government to block online content on grounds of sovereignty, security, public order, etc.
- Rule 16, IT (Blocking) Rules 2009: Mandates confidentiality of blocking proceedings — used to deny affected parties access to blocking orders.
- Shreya Singhal vs Union of India (2015): SC upheld Section 69A as constitutional precisely because of its procedural safeguards (reasoned orders, judicial review).
- Article 19(1)(a): Right to freedom of speech and expression; subject to reasonable restrictions under Art. 19(2).
- Doctrine of Proportionality: Any restriction on rights must be proportionate to the objective — blocking an entire account for a few posts violates this.
- Karnataka HC (2021-22): Dismissed Twitter’s challenge to blocking orders; fined Twitter.
- From 2014-2021: URLs/accounts blocked rose from 470 to 9,800; pace has accelerated since.
| Aspect | Constitutional Safeguard | Current Reality |
|---|---|---|
| Reasoned Orders | Required by Shreya Singhal (2015) | Withheld using Rule 16 confidentiality |
| Right to be Heard | Natural justice principle | Blocked parties not informed; can’t challenge |
| Proportionality | Art. 19(2) – reasonable restriction | Entire accounts blocked for individual posts |
| Judicial Review | Art. 226/32 | Rule 16 shields blocking from courts |
| Review Committee | Executive body under IT Rules 2009 | Has NEVER overturned a blocking order |
Critical Point for UPSC: Blocking an entire account = digital exile = removal from public discourse. The proposed decentralisation to multiple Ministries could create a “censorship cartel” without even the minimal oversight of the IT Ministry.
- Constitutional Paradox: Rule 16 (a procedural rule) is being used to override a Constitutional Right (Art. 19) — a rule cannot override the Constitution.
- Chilling Effect: Even fear of account blocking suppresses legitimate criticism — self-censorship becomes widespread.
- Global Comparison: EU’s Digital Services Act (DSA) mandates transparency reports, appeals mechanisms and independent oversight for content moderation — India lacks equivalent framework.
- Emergency Misuse: Emergency powers used for BBC documentary (2023), farmers’ protest (2021) — pattern of expanding “public order” definition beyond intent.
- GS IV Ethical Dimension: Transparency, accountability, and the duty of a public servant to uphold constitutional values — blocking dissent without due process violates all three.
- Amend Rule 16 — make blocking orders accessible to affected parties
- Create independent Digital Rights Ombudsman
- Mandatory judicial/legislative oversight before blocking entire accounts
- Transparent annual blocking reports (like EU’s DSA model)
- SC must revisit Rule 16 vis-à-vis Shreya Singhal safeguards
- Parliament should enact a comprehensive Digital Rights Act
- Proportionality test: post-level blocking, not account-level
- Centralise oversight with a single accountable body, not decentralise
“The systemic use of Rule 16 of the IT Blocking Rules to circumvent the safeguards upheld in Shreya Singhal amounts to a constitutional violation.” Critically examine the threat of digital censorship to freedom of speech in India and suggest an appropriate regulatory framework.
GS II – 15 Marks / 250 Words1. It allows the government to block online content on grounds of national security.
2. The Supreme Court upheld its constitutionality in the Shreya Singhal case due to its procedural safeguards.
3. The Review Committee constituted under the IT Rules 2009 has overturned several government blocking orders.
Which of the above is/are correct?
- (a) 1 only
- ✓ (b) 1 and 2 only
- (c) 2 and 3 only
- (d) 1, 2 and 3
- India’s urea plants are running at 50% capacity due to disruption of LNG supplies caused by the West Asia conflict.
- A data point analysis reveals India’s dual exposure: LNG (feedstock for urea production) and finished urea imports both come predominantly from West Asia.
- Over 60% of India’s imported LNG and 71% of urea imports transit through or originate from regions affected by the Strait of Hormuz closure.
- Urea: Most widely used nitrogenous fertilizer in India. National consumption: 387 lakh metric tonnes (2025). Domestic production: ~306 LMT.
- PM-PRANAM Scheme: Promotes balanced use of fertilizers to reduce over-dependence on urea.
- Neem-Coated Urea Policy: 100% neem coating mandated to prevent diversion.
- Fertilizer Subsidy: One of India’s largest subsidy items (~₹1.5–2 lakh crore annually). Any import price surge directly hits fiscal deficit.
- LNG production pathway: Natural Gas → Ammonia → Urea (energy-intensive process; LNG preferred over naphtha for fewer emissions).
- India’s urea import sources (2025): Oman (45%), Saudi Arabia + Qatar + UAE (26%), Russia and others (~29%).
- Kharif Season: Begins June–July. Urea demand peaks during planting season.
- India: 4th largest LNG buyer globally
- 261 LMT imported (2025)
- >40% from Qatar (long-term contracts)
- UAE + Oman also major suppliers
- >60% routes via Hormuz
- LNG feedstock → Ammonia → Urea
- 30% of LNG used for fertilizers (FY26)
- Urea plants at 50% capacity
- Petronet LNG declared force majeure
- India imports ~2,300+ LMT urea
- 71% from West Asia
- Oman: 45%; SA+Qatar+UAE: 26%
- All transit Strait of Hormuz
- Kharif season at risk (June–July)
- Farmer protests possible
- Food price inflation
- Govt. buffer: 61.51 LMT stocks
- Single-Region Concentration Risk: Sourcing 71% of urea imports from a single conflict-prone region is a classic supply chain risk management failure.
- Domestic Production Gap: India produces ~306 LMT against demand of 387 LMT — the gap (81 LMT) must be bridged urgently through domestic capacity.
- Green Alternatives Slow: India’s nascent green hydrogen/ammonia ecosystem cannot substitute LNG-based urea in the short term.
- Subsidy Burden: Price spike in urea imports will inflate fertilizer subsidy — impacting fiscal consolidation targets.
- Global Comparison: China has diversified urea production using coal gasification; India’s naphtha-based backup is less efficient.
- Fast-track urea sourcing from Russia, Canada, USA
- Long-term contracts with African gas producers
- Invest in domestic gas production (KG Basin)
- Scale up green hydrogen-based ammonia production
- Promote nano-urea (IFFCO model) to reduce volume dependence
- Soil health cards to reduce urea overuse
- PM-PRANAM for balanced fertilizer use
India faces a “dual dependence trap” on West Asia — both for LNG (to produce urea) and for finished urea imports. Analyse the implications of this dependence for India’s agricultural and food security, and suggest a comprehensive strategy for fertilizer supply chain resilience.
GS III – 15 Marks / 250 Words1. Urea is the most widely used fertilizer in India.
2. India is the fourth largest buyer of natural gas in the world.
3. All urea produced in India uses natural gas (LNG) as feedstock.
Select the correct answer:
- (a) 3 only
- (b) 2 and 3 only
- ✓ (c) 1 and 2 only
- (d) 1, 2 and 3
- AgriPV (Agri-Photovoltaics) integrates solar panels with agricultural land, allowing simultaneous crop cultivation and electricity generation.
- The 2026-27 Budget doubled the PM-KUSUM scheme outlay to ₹5,000 crore, and the government is exploring including AgriPV in a dedicated 10-GW National Agri-Photovoltaics Mission under PM-KUSUM 2.0.
- AgriPV can address India’s dual challenge: meeting its 300 GW solar target by 2030 without competing with agricultural land use.
- PM-KUSUM Scheme: Pradhan Mantri Kisan Urja Suraksha evam Utthaan Mahabhiyan — promotes solar pumps and power plants for farmers. Launched 2019.
- India’s Solar Targets: 300 GW installed solar capacity by 2030; Net Zero by 2070 (COP26 commitment).
- AgriPV System Types: Elevated, Row-based, Vertical, and Greenhouse-integrated systems.
- Shade-tolerant crops for AgriPV: Tomato, onion, garlic, turmeric, ginger, ragi, jowar, grapes (region-specific).
- 50 pilot installations currently operational across India.
- India-EU FTA relevance: Allows Indian AYUSH (and potentially AgriPV-based products) to enter EU markets under mutual recognition.
| Dimension | Benefits | Challenges |
|---|---|---|
| Agricultural | Partial shade reduces water loss; protects crops from heat/hail; dual income for farmers | Crop yield may fall if panel spacing is wrong; shade-intolerant crops unsuitable |
| Energy | Decentralised solar on farmland; reduces pressure on utility-scale solar land | Higher capital cost vs. conventional solar; complex mounting systems |
| Economic | Farmer income diversification; powers ancillary rural services (cold storage, food processing) | Financing gap; unclear revenue-sharing models; land rights disputes |
| Regulatory | Covered under PM-KUSUM 2.0 framework | Land classification, grid connectivity, tariff clarity lacking; no design benchmarks |
| Environmental | Reduced evapotranspiration; soil moisture retention; lower diesel use | Large-scale impact on soil microbiome and bird habitats unknown |
- Land Conflict Resolution: AgriPV is fundamentally a land-use conflict resolution tool — India’s 300 GW solar target needs land that agriculture also needs.
- Scale vs. Evidence Gap: With only 50 pilots and no established agro-climatic benchmarks, a 10-GW mission could be premature without robust empirical data.
- Farmer Adoption Barrier: High capital cost (~₹40–50 lakh/acre for elevated systems) makes standalone farmer ownership difficult without concessional financing.
- Business Model Innovation Needed: Revenue-sharing between developer and farmer must be legally codified to prevent exploitation.
- Global Best Practice: Germany and Japan have robust AgriPV frameworks with certified design standards and insurance products — India can adapt these.
- Include AgriPV in PM-KUSUM 2.0 with viability gap funding
- Create national design and safety benchmarks for AgriPV
- Provide regulatory clarity on land classification and tariffs
- Expand pilots to cover all major agro-climatic zones
- Encourage FPOs/cooperatives for collective AgriPV development
- Integrate AgriPV into Farmer Training programs (KVKs)
- Develop concessional credit product (NABARD)
SDG Linkage: SDG 7 (Clean Energy), SDG 2 (Zero Hunger – farmer income), SDG 13 (Climate Action), SDG 8 (Economic Growth – rural)
India’s ambitious renewable energy targets and its agricultural land needs are often in conflict. How can Agri-Photovoltaics (AgriPV) serve as a bridge between energy transition and food security goals? Discuss the opportunities and challenges in scaling AgriPV in India.
GS III – 15 Marks / 250 Words1. It aims to provide solar energy to farmers for irrigation and income generation.
2. The 2026-27 Budget doubled its outlay to ₹5,000 crore.
3. It is implemented by the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy.
Which of the above statements is/are correct?
- (a) 1 only
- (b) 1 and 3 only
- ✓ (c) 1, 2 and 3
- (d) 2 and 3 only
- The 2026-27 Union Budget nearly doubled the AYUSH Ministry’s budget to ₹4,408 crore, announced 3 new All-India Institutes of Ayurveda, and boosted the National AYUSH Mission by 66%.
- The India-EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) opens European markets to Indian AYUSH practitioners and products — a significant global expansion opportunity.
- Authors argue that global ambition must be matched with scientific accountability — independent clinical trials, peer-reviewed evidence, and transparent negative findings are essential for credibility.
- AYUSH: Ayurveda, Yoga & Naturopathy, Unani, Siddha, Homeopathy — governed by Ministry of AYUSH.
- TCAM: Traditional, Complementary and Alternative Medicine — WHO-recognised category.
- National AYUSH Mission (NAM): Centrally sponsored scheme for AYUSH services expansion in states.
- Three new All-India Institutes of Ayurveda: Modelled on AIIMS for traditional medicine — will conduct research, education and clinical work.
- India-EU FTA 2026: First major trade deal with EU. Allows Indian AYUSH practitioners to work in EU countries without additional testing where traditional medicine is not separately regulated.
- WHO Traditional Medicine Strategy 2019-2025: Promotes evidence-based integration of TCAM into national health systems.
| Aspect | Opportunity | Challenge / Risk |
|---|---|---|
| Regulatory | India-EU FTA opens market access; safety certifications may get mutual recognition | EU’s stringent safety standards; conflict of interest in self-assessed AYUSH trials |
| Scientific | Growing global interest in holistic health; systemic medicine approach of Ayurveda | Most assessments funded by the same Ministry that promotes AYUSH — structural bias |
| Economic | Global AYUSH market worth $100+ billion; India well-positioned | Legal disputes if claims outpace evidence; reputational damage possible |
| Philosophical | Ayurveda offers a systemic, ecological model of health vs. biomedical reductionism | Demanding evidence ≠ colonial bias; transparent science strengthens, not diminishes, tradition |
- Conflict of Interest: The AYUSH Ministry both promotes and funds evaluation of AYUSH — a structural conflict similar to pharmaceutical self-regulation before modern drug laws.
- Epistemic Debate: Demanding evidence is not “Western epistemic domination” — it is a universal scientific standard. Ayurveda’s holistic framework should be evaluated on its own epistemological terms through independent research.
- Regulatory Harmonisation Gap: EU requires rigorous safety, quality (GMP) and efficacy data. Indian AYUSH certifications are not yet internationally recognised. This gap must be addressed before market expansion.
- COVID-19 Lesson: Several AYUSH products were promoted without adequate clinical evidence during the pandemic — a reputational risk that set back global credibility.
- GS IV Angle: Ethical governance demands transparency, accountability and avoidance of conflict of interest in public health promotion.
- Fund independent third-party clinical trials (not Ministry-controlled)
- Mandate peer-reviewed publication including negative findings
- Create an independent AYUSH Research Council (on lines of ICMR)
- Align AYUSH product standards with EU GMP requirements
- Seek mutual recognition of safety certifications through India-EU FTA mechanism
- Promote AYUSH wellness tourism with evidence-backed protocols
The 2026-27 Budget and the India-EU FTA together signal India’s ambition to mainstream AYUSH globally. However, global ambition without scientific rigour risks reputational damage and legal disputes. Critically evaluate the AYUSH expansion strategy and suggest measures to ensure credibility and regulatory compliance.
GS II – 15 Marks / 250 WordsSelect the correct option:
- (a) Ayurveda, Yoga, Unani, Siddha, Homoeopathy
- ✓ (b) Ayurveda, Yoga & Naturopathy, Unani, Siddha, Homoeopathy
- (c) Ayurveda, Yoga, Unani, Sanskrit, Homoeopathy
- (d) Ayurveda, Yoga & Naturopathy, Unani, Surgery, Homoeopathy
- After the US Supreme Court struck down Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, the administration invoked Section 122 of the US Trade Act (1974) and initiated Section 301 proceedings against several countries including India.
- India is listed in two Section 301 investigations — for “Structural Excess Capacity” and “Forced Labour” in manufacturing — alongside the EU, Japan, China, and others.
- The article argues that these are unilateral and legally weak actions that undermine WTO multilateralism, and India must respond through coalition-building and active participation in WTO dispute settlement.
- Section 301, US Trade Act 1974: Authorises USTR to investigate foreign trade practices and impose unilateral tariffs on “unjustifiable, discriminatory” practices.
- Section 122, US Trade Act 1974: Allows 150-day temporary surcharge in case of Balance of Payments (BOP) crisis — no BOP crisis exists in US currently.
- WTO (World Trade Organization): Governs international trade rules; only allows import restrictions (not tariffs) in BOP crisis.
- WTO Appellate Body Crisis: US has single-handedly blocked the constitution of the WTO Appellate Body since 2019 — appeals go unresolved.
- USTR: United States Trade Representative — the federal body that conducts Section 301 investigations.
- Malaysia’s response: Officially declared its bilateral trade agreement with US “null and void” after the SC ruling.
- WTO Legitimacy Crisis: The US — architect of the WTO — has become its chief decimator. Blocking the Appellate Body makes WTO dispute settlement non-functional.
- Legal Weakness of Section 301 proceedings: “Structural Excess Capacity” and “Forced Labour” allegations against India are specious — India has a right to contest these aggressively before USTR.
- “Big Stick” Analogy: WTO Disputes Panel noted Section 301 is like a “big stick” — its mere existence creates coercive leverage even without being used.
- India’s Strategic Choice: Unlike Malaysia (declared US agreement “null and void”), India is pursuing a “mutually beneficial trade agreement” — Section 301 proceedings will shape these negotiations.
- Coalition Imperative: No single developing country can challenge US unilateralism alone. India must lead a coalition of the Global South to revive multilateral rules.
- Indian businesses must actively submit to Section 301 proceedings with factual rebuttal
- Engage USTR through diplomatic channels alongside legal submissions
- Seek coalition with EU, Japan, ASEAN to collectively challenge
- Push for reconstitution of WTO Appellate Body (multi-country effort)
- Build MPIA (Multi-Party Interim Appeal Arbitration) coalition
- India-EU FTA as a template to build rules-based trade blocs
- Strengthen South-South trade as hedge against US unilateralism
The United States’ weaponisation of Section 301 of its Trade Act has exposed the fragility of WTO-based multilateral rules. Analyse the implications of this trend for India’s trade interests and examine the strategies India should adopt to protect its economic sovereignty while pursuing a bilateral trade deal with the US.
GS II / GS III – 15 Marks / 250 Words1. The US blocked its constitution by refusing to approve new member appointments.
2. The Multi-Party Interim Appeal Arbitration (MPIA) is an alternative mechanism created by some WTO members.
3. All WTO member countries are bound to use the MPIA.
Select the correct answer:
- (a) 1 only
- ✓ (b) 1 and 2 only
- (c) 2 and 3 only
- (d) 1, 2 and 3
- Assam goes to the polls on April 9, 2026. BJP seeks a third consecutive term; Congress attempts a comeback after 10 years.
- The election is the first after the 2023 delimitation of constituencies — which has drawn allegations of communal gerrymandering (reducing Muslim voter impact, enhancing indigenous community representation).
- Key themes: CAA (Citizenship Amendment Act 2019), migration debate, nativist vs. Hindu-Muslim framing, ULFA(I) insurgency, and infrastructure vs. crony capitalism allegations.
- Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) 2019: Grants citizenship to non-Muslim religious minorities from Bangladesh, Pakistan, Afghanistan who entered India before December 31, 2014.
- Assam Accord (1985): Agreement ending Assam agitation; fixed March 24, 1971 as cut-off date for detection/deletion of illegal migrants — distinct from CAA’s 2014 cut-off.
- NRC (National Register of Citizens): Updated in Assam (2019); 19 lakh people left out. CAA’s interaction with NRC creates a complex legal dynamic.
- ULFA(I): United Liberation Front of Assam (Independent) — proscribed organization; still carries out attacks (latest: Tinsukia, March 23, 2026).
- Delimitation 2023: Redrawing of constituency boundaries — allegations that it reduces representation of Bengali-speaking Muslims in lower Assam.
- Key alliances: BJP+AGP+BPF (NDA) vs Congress+Raijor Dal+AJP (Opposition).
| Issue | BJP’s Frame | Opposition’s Frame | UPSC Significance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Migration | Hindu-Muslim binary; CAA as protective | Nativist — opposition to all immigration, including Hindu | CAA, NRC, citizenship law |
| Delimitation | Correcting indigenous under-representation | Communal gerrymandering | Delimitation Commission powers |
| ULFA(I) | Security operation success | Militarisation and rights concerns | Internal security, insurgency |
| Development | Big infrastructure milestones | Crony capitalism, environment damage | Federal transfers, governance |
- Communal Gerrymandering Concern: Delimitation that reduces Muslim voter impact in specific constituencies undermines the democratic principle of equal representation.
- CAA vs. Assam Accord Tension: The Assam Accord treats all post-1971 immigrants (Hindu or Muslim) equally. CAA creates a communal eligibility divide — this internal contradiction remains legally unresolved.
- AIUDF Collapse: The shrinking of AIUDF (representing Bengali-speaking Muslims) reflects fragmentation of minority political voice — relevant for representative democracy debates.
- Anti-CAA Movement Legacy: The AJP (born from anti-CAA movement) channels subnational Assamese identity — shows that communal framing has not fully suppressed regional identity politics.
- Security Concern: ULFA(I)’s attack (March 23) — lobbing grenades at police commando camp — signals continued insurgency pressure despite years of counter-insurgency operations.
- Resolve CAA-Assam Accord legal contradiction through legislation
- Ensure Delimitation Commission exercises powers transparently and constitutionally
- Fast-track NRC appeals to reduce statelessness risk
- Continue ULFA(I) peace talks (suspension of operations since 2011 should be renewed)
- Inclusive development that addresses both indigenous and Bengali-origin communities
- Strengthen environmental safeguards for infrastructure projects
The Assam elections of 2026 reflect the complex interplay of migration politics, citizenship law, subnational identity, and delimitation controversies. Analyse how the Citizenship Amendment Act and the NRC exercise have reshaped political dynamics in Assam. What are the implications for representative democracy and minority rights?
GS II – 15 Marks / 250 Words1. It provides a path to citizenship for non-Muslim religious minorities from Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.
2. The cut-off date for entry into India under CAA is March 24, 1971.
3. It amends the Citizenship Act of 1955.
Which of the above is/are correct?
- (a) 1 only
- (b) 2 and 3 only
- ✓ (c) 1 and 3 only
- (d) 1, 2 and 3


