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ISRO and the next big challenge

Why in News?

  • Over the last decade, Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) has delivered high-complexity, high-credibility missions:
    • Chandrayaan-3 soft lunar landing (23 Aug 2023).
    • Aditya-L1 placed in halo orbit at Sun–Earth L1 (6 Jan 2024).
    • NISAR launched with NASA (July 2025).
  • Parallel preparation for Gaganyaan, Chandrayaan-4, and Next-Generation Launch Vehicle (NGLV).
  • Post-2020 liberalisation of India’s space sector has exposed gaps in governance, execution capacity, and competitiveness.

Relevance

GS III (Science & Technology)

  • Space technology and applications.
  • Transition from mission-based success to institutional capacity building.
  • Heavy-lift launch vehicles, reusability, and space competitiveness.

ISRO’s Recent Performance: What Has Changed?

1. Launch Reliability

  • Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV):
    • Normalised multi-satellite, multi-orbit missions.
    • Reliable, cost-effective access to space → operational maturity.

2. Capability Leap

  • Shift from Earth-centric missions to:
    • Lunar surface operations.
    • Solar physics.
    • Human spaceflight preparation.

3. International Credibility

  • NISAR marks:
    • Billion-dollar, equal partnership mission.
    • Entry into elite group executing advanced Earth-observation systems.

Implication

  • Success has raised the bar: future evaluation is about routine excellence, not isolated achievements.

Core Challenges Ahead

1. Execution Capacity & Mission Bottlenecks

Parallel Mission Load

  • Human spaceflight.
  • Advanced science missions.
  • Satellite replenishment.
  • Development of NGLV (beyond medium-lift Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle).

Symptoms of Strain

  • Only 5 launches in 2025 (vs projected 8).
  • Delays linked to:
    • Big-ticket programme prioritisation.
    • Limited annual launch cadence.

Structural Issue

  • ISRO remains:
    • Designer + integrator + operator.
  • Creates a single institutional bottleneck.

Systemic Risk

  • One anomaly → cascading delays across unrelated missions.

What is Needed ?

  • Expanded integration and testing capacity.
  • Robust industrial supply chains (structures, avionics).
  • Clear separation of:
    • R&D vehicles vs operational vehicles.
  • Workflows that absorb setbacks without system-wide paralysis.

2. Governance Gap in a Liberalised Space Sector

Post-2020 Institutional Architecture

  • IN-SPACe: authorisation & promotion.
  • New Space India Limited: commercialisation.

Critical Gap

  • Absence of a comprehensive national space law.

Consequences

  • Legal ambiguity on:
    • Authorisation powers.
    • Liability and insurance.
    • Dispute resolution.
  • ISRO pulled in as:
    • Default regulator.
    • Technical certifier.
  • Commercial failures risk being socialised onto ISRO.

Why a Space Law Matters ?

  • Provides statutory authority to IN-SPACe and NSIL.
  • Insulates ISRO from routine regulatory/commercial tasks.
  • Ensures continuity across political and administrative cycles.

3. Competitiveness as an Ecosystem Problem

Global Trends

  • High-frequency launches.
  • Partially reusable launch vehicles.
  • Rapid satellite manufacturing cycles.

India’s Strategic Response

  • NGLV targeting:
    • Reusability.
    • ~30-tonne payload to Low Earth Orbit.

Core Constraint

  • Competitiveness is no longer purely technological.
  • Requires:
    • Advanced manufacturing.
    • Production depth.
    • High qualification throughput.
    • Large, patient capital.

Financial Stress

  • Space-sector investment fell sharply in 2024.
  • Hardware-heavy, long-gestation projects deter private finance.

Policy Response

  • IN-SPACe’s Technology Adoption Fund:
    • Bridge prototype → scalable product.
    • Reduce import dependence.

Strategic Insight: From Feats to Systems

  • Past: Individual mission brilliance.
  • Future: Sustained, institutionalised performance.
  • Decisive factors:
    • Engineering capacity.
    • Legal clarity.
    • Industrial depth.
    • Financial maturity — evolving together.

January 2026
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