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India’s Likely Entry into a U.S.-Led Tech–Supply Chain Bloc

Context & Why in News ?

  • India to be invited to join Pax Silica, a U.S.-led 8-nation initiative on:
    • Semiconductors
    • Critical minerals
    • Artificial Intelligence
  • Signals reset in IndiaU.S. strategic-tech cooperation after months of trade frictions.
  • India was excluded in the initial launch (Dec, Washington) despite Quad membership.

Relevance

GS II – International Relations

  • IndiaU.S. strategic partnership
  • Minilateralism (Quad, I2U2)
  • Strategic autonomy vs alignment

GS III – Economy & S&T

  • Semiconductors, AI, critical minerals
  • Supply chain security
  • Industrial policy (PLI, Semicon India)

What is Pax Silica?

  • Strategic techno-economic bloc, not a formal treaty.
  • Aims to:
    • Secure trusted semiconductor supply chains.
    • Reduce dependence on China-centric manufacturing & minerals.
    • Coordinate on AI governance, standards, and innovation.
  • Part of broader U.S. vision of friend-shoring and tech alliances.

Strategic Context: Why Pax Silica Matters Now ?

  • Semiconductors as geopolitics:
    • Chips = core of defence, AI, telecom, EVs.
  • Critical minerals:
    • Lithium, cobalt, rare earths → energy transition & defence.
  • AI race:
    • Economic productivity + military applications.
  • Pax Silica complements:
    • Quad tech agenda
    • I2U2 economic corridor
    • U.S. CHIPS & Science Act ecosystem.

Why India’s Participation is Significant ?

Strategic Dimension  

  • Indo-Pacific balancing:
    • Strengthens India’s role in shaping rules-based tech order.
  • Trust-based alignment:
    • Without formal alliance → preserves strategic autonomy.
  • Enhances India’s leverage in:
    • Quad
    • G20
    • Global tech governance forums.

Economic & Industrial Dimension

  • Aligns with India’s:
    • Semicon India Programme
    • PLI schemes
  • Access to:
    • Advanced chip design ecosystems.
    • Global value chains (fab, packaging, testing).
  • Helps India move up from:
    • Assembly → design, materials, and equipment.

Supply Chain Security

  • Reduces vulnerability to:
    • China-dominated rare earth processing.
  • Diversification of:
    • Mineral sourcing
    • Manufacturing nodes.

Why India Was Initially Excluded ?

  • Trade tensions:
    • U.S. imposed 50% tariffs on Indian goods.
  • Friction over:
    • India’s Russian oil imports.
  • Policy divergence:
    • Data localisation
    • Market access issues.
  • Current invitation reflects:
    • Pragmatic reset rather than ideological convergence.

Challenges & Risks for India

Strategic Risks

  • Over-alignment risks perception of bloc politics.
  • China factor:
    • Possible retaliation in trade or border diplomacy.

Economic Risks

  • High entry barriers:
    • Capital-intensive fabs.
    • Technology export controls (U.S. ITAR-like regimes).

Policy Risks

  • AI governance:
    • U.S. model vs India’s development-first approach.
  • Critical minerals:
    • India weak in domestic reserves → dependency persists.

Linkages with Other Groupings

  • Quad:
    • Security + tech norms.
  • I2U2:
    • Economic innovation corridor.
  • BRICS:
    • India must balance tech alignment with Global South leadership.

Way Forward for India

  • Selective participation:
    • Focus on semicon design, OSAT, minerals processing.
  • Insist on technology access, not just market integration.
  • Leverage Pax Silica for Global South:
    • Act as bridge between advanced tech & developing world.
  • Domestic reforms:
    • Ease land, power, water bottlenecks for fabs.
  • Parallel diversification:
    • Continue cooperation with EU, Japan, South Korea.

Pax Silica – Members

  1. United States (Lead country)
  2. Japan
  3. Australia
  4. South Korea
  5. Singapore
  6. United Kingdom
  7. Netherlands
  8. Israel
  9. United Arab Emirates

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