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Surge in ethanol blending and its impacts

Ethanol Blending Progress & Targets

  • India achieved 20% ethanol blending in petrol in FY25 — five years ahead of the original 2030 target.
  • New goal: 30% blending in the near future, to reduce fossil fuel dependence and oil imports.
  • Ethanol for blending is primarily derived from sugarcane — juice, syrup, and molasses.

Relevance : GS 3(Energy Security)

Rising Ethanol Supply

  • Ethanol supply from sugarcane increased from 40 crore litres in FY14 to ~670 crore litres in FY24.
  • The surge followed:
    • Lifting of bans on using sugarcane juice/syrup/B-heavy molasses for ethanol.
    • Reduction in GST on ethanol for blending.
  • Ethanol Blending Programme (EBP) evolved from a stagnant early phase to a rapid acceleration.

Sugarcane Production Trends

  • Peaked at 490croretonnes in FY23, but is declining:
    • Estimated 435 crore tonnes in FY25.
  • Factors for the decline:
    • Red-rot disease in major producing states.
    • Deficient rainfall.
    • Flowering issues in crops.
  • In response, the Fair Remunerative Price (FRP) for sugarcane was increased to protect farmers.

Retail Sugar Price Impact

  • Sugar prices rose from ₹40/kg (May 2023) to ₹45/kg (May 2025).
  • Key price drivers:
    • Falling production.
    • Increased diversion of sugar for ethanol.
    • Global supply pressures and domestic demand.

Food vs Fuel Trade-Off

  • As ethanol demand grows, more sugarcanegetsdiverted, risking:
    • Reduced availability of sugar for direct consumption.
    • Further price hikes, especially in lean production years.
  • The Centre is exploring grain-based ethanol (e.g., maize, surplus rice) to compensate.
  • Critics caution against this shift leading to new food security challenges if not carefully managed.

Broader Implications

  • Sustainability benefits:
    • Reduces carbon emissions.
    • Cuts crude oil imports.
    • Provides farmers with alternate income.
  • Risks:
    • Undermining food affordability and nutrition access.
    • Environmental strain due to monocropping (e.g., water-intensive sugarcane).

Conclusion: The Balancing Act

  • The government must:
    • Ensure food security and price stability.
    • Diversify ethanol sources (grains, waste biomass).
    • Invest in secondgeneration biofuels (non-food-based).
    • Prioritize sustainable cropping patterns and water management.

May 2025
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