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Why does peace seem so elusive to eastern DRC?

Why in News

  • June 27, 2025: Rwanda & DRC signed a U.S.-brokered peace agreement in Washington.
  • July 19, 2025: DRC government & M23 rebels signed a ceasefire deal in Doha, mediated by Qatar.
  • Despite these agreements, M23 resumed offensives, undermining peace efforts.

Relevance:

  • GS II – International Relations: DRC-Rwanda relations, role of U.S. and Qatar in conflict mediation, geopolitical stakes.
  • GS II – Security: Regional security, insurgency (M23), ethnic conflicts, peace processes.
  • GS III – Economy: Resource curse, minerals (cobalt, coltan) and global supply chains.

Basics

  • Conflict background: Rooted in Rwanda’s 1994 genocide, subsequent Congo wars, and ethnic rivalries (100+ armed groups).
  • M23 rebel group: Tutsi-led militia, accused of atrocities; reportedly backed by Rwanda.
  • Significance: DRC has $24 trillion in mineral reserves (70% global cobalt, plus coltan, copper, diamonds, tin, gold).
  • Actors:
    • U.S. → brokered peace for minerals access, countering China’s dominance.
    • Qatar → direct mediation with M23 rebels.
    • Rwanda → pressured to sign, accused of backing rebels.

Overview

  • U.S. Involvement
    • Economic: Access to cobalt & critical minerals; reduce Chinese monopoly.
    • Political: Project image as global peace mediator; influence African geopolitics.
    • Security: Promote stability to secure mineral trade.
  • Qatar’s Mediation
    • Neutral bridge with non-state actors (M23).
    • Enhanced diplomatic profile as conflict mediator (pattern seen in Afghanistan, Gaza, now DRC).
  • Peace Agreement Provisions
    • Joint Security Coordination Mechanism (JSCM).
    • Economic Integration Framework (licit mineral trade).
    • Ceasefire, disengagement, disarmament, conditional integration of rebels.
  • Challenges & Limitations
    • Repeated Ceasefire Failures: M23 resumed violence, 140+ killed in July 2025.
    • Distrust among parties: DRC accuses Rwanda of continued M23 support.
    • Unaddressed root causes: ethnic rivalries, governance gaps, historical grievances.
    • Resource curse: illicit mining funds militias; competition over minerals perpetuates conflict.
  • Implications for Conflict
    • Agreement created illusion of peace; fragile trust easily broken.
    • Shows need for comprehensive peace process addressing governance, justice, and inclusion.
    • Without sustained commitment, external mediation risks becoming symbolic.
    • U.S.–China rivalry over minerals may internationalize the conflict further.

September 2025
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