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Total Fertility Rate in India remains at 2.0

Key Findings on TFR

  • National TFR remains stable at 2.0 in 2021, same as in 2020.
  • Replacement level fertility (TFR of 2.1) has been achieved nationally.
  • Bihar has the highest TFR at 3.0.
  • West Bengal and Delhi report the lowest TFR, both at 1.4.

Relevance : GS 1(Society) , GS 2(Governance)

Demographic Shifts

  • Share of population aged 0–14 years dropped from 41.2% (1971) to 24.8% (2021).
  • Working-age population (15–59 years) rose from 53.4% to 66.2% over the same period.
  • Elderly population (60+):
    • Increased from 6% to 9%.
    • 65+ age group rose from 5.3% to 5.9%.

Elderly Population (60+ Age Group)

  • Highest % of elderly:
    • Kerala – 14.4%
    • Tamil Nadu – 12.9%
    • Himachal Pradesh – 12.3%
  • Lowest % of elderly:
    • Bihar – 6.9%
    • Assam – 7%
    • Delhi – 7.1%

Fertility Rates by State

  • Below Replacement Level TFR (≤2.1):
    • Delhi, West Bengal – 1.4
    • Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, J&K, Kerala, Maharashtra, Punjab – 1.5
    • Himachal Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka – 1.6
    • Odisha, Uttarakhand – 1.8
    • Gujarat, Haryana – 2.0
    • Assam – 2.1
  • States above replacement level: Bihar, Uttar Pradesh (implied though not directly mentioned)

Marriage Trends

  • Mean age at effective female marriage increased from 19.3 (1990) to 22.5 (2021).

Policy Context

  • Despite Budget 2024’s announcement of a high-power committee on population growth, SRS data indicates demographic stabilisation, not rapid growth.
  • Full clarity requires the 2021 Census, still pending since last held in 2011.

Survey Details

  • Conducted across 8,842 sample units.
  • Covered a population of around 84 lakh.
  • Largest demographic survey in India aside from the Census.

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