Why is it in News ?
- The 2023 NCRB report on Manipur presents a striking anomaly:
- While most categories of crime skyrocketed during the ethnic conflict,
- Crimes against women reportedly declined by 30% — contradicting eyewitness reports, FIRs, and the Supreme Court’s own observations of widespread sexual violence.
- The data exposes a major crisis of underreporting and institutional breakdown in conflict zones.
Relevance:
- GS-1 (Social Issues): Gender-based violence, women’s safety, conflict impact on vulnerable populations.
- GS-2 (Polity & Governance): Institutional failures, NCRB data integrity, Supreme Court interventions, law enforcement accountability.
The 2023 Manipur Ethnic Conflict
- Conflict began: May 3, 2023
- Parties involved:
- Meitei community (valley-based, largely Hindu)
- Kuki-Zo tribes (hill-based, largely Christian)
- Trigger: Meitei demand for Scheduled Tribe (ST) status.
- Impact:
- Over 200 deaths and 70,000 displaced (as per government & media estimates).
- Massive destruction of property, arson, and targeted violence.
- Reports of systemic gender-based violence amid the conflict.
Supreme Court’s Observation (July 2023)
- The apex court termed the sexual violence in Manipur as of “systemic” and “unprecedented magnitude.”
- Ordered:
- Special investigation teams (SITs) under the supervision of former High Court judges.
- Transfer of some cases to the CBI, including those involving sexual violence against women.
- Emphasis on victim protection and fair trial mechanisms.
Key NCRB Data (Manipur, 2022 vs 2023)
Category of Crime | 2022 | 2023 | % Change / Observation |
Arson | 27 | 6,203 | 22,800% |
Rioting | 84 | 5,421 | 6,350% |
Dacoity | 1 | 1,213 | Massive rise |
Murder | 47 | 151 | 221% |
Attempt to Murder | 153 | 818 | 434% |
Robbery | 7 | 330 | 4,614% |
Burglary | 39 | 183 | 369% |
Theft | 1,286 | 2,394 | 86% |
Crimes under Arms Act | 64 | 116 | 81% |
Promoting enmity between groups | 15 | 473 | 3,053% |
Crimes Against Women (overall) | – | – | ↓ 30% decline |
Contradiction:
Despite extensive media coverage and legal action highlighting sexual violence, NCRB recorded:
- Rape cases: 42 → 27
- Assault on women’s modesty: 67 → 66
- Sexual harassment: 5 → 1
- POCSO (minor rape): 44 → 43
Ground Reports of Gendered Violence
- Multiple verified cases indicate widespread sexual crimes despite official denials:
- May 4, 2023: Women working at a car wash in Imphal East tortured by a mob (FIR accessed by The Hindu).
- Kuki-Zo legislators’ statement (July 2023): At least four incidents of rape/murder of Kuki women.
- Complaints to NCW and civil groups:
- Harassment of Kuki-Zomi women on Manipur University campus.
- Assaults at Nightingale Nursing Institute.
- Alleged rape and murder of four women in Imphal.
Reasons for Underreporting
- Institutional Collapse:
- Police and administrative systems fragmented along ethnic lines, eroding neutrality.
- Displacement of communities meant many survivors had no access to police stations.
- Social Stigma and Fear:
- Strong cultural taboo against reporting sexual violence, worsened by community conflict.
- Fear of retaliation and lack of witness protection.
- Data Suppression:
- Local police reluctant to register cases that implicate dominant groups or security forces.
- Technical Classification:
- Many incidents recorded under “rioting” or “violence”, not as sexual crimes.
- Displacement Barrier:
- Many victims in relief camps or migrated out of the state — FIRs never registered or pursued.
Implications
- Humanitarian: Survivors denied justice and trauma care.
- Institutional: NCRB’s credibility questioned — data may not reflect real ground situation in conflict zones.
- Constitutional: Violation of Article 21 (Right to Life with Dignity) and Article 14 (Equality before Law).
- Judicial: Reinforces the Supreme Court’s finding of a “systemic failure of law enforcement.”
Broader Pattern
- Underreporting of sexual violence is a national issue, but the Manipur case amplifies it due to:
- Militarization and ethnic polarisation.
- Collapsed trust in state machinery.
- Lack of gender-sensitive policing in emergencies.
- Similar patterns seen in conflict zones like Kashmir (1990s) and Northeast insurgencies.
Way Forward
- Independent Investigations:
- Expand Supreme Court-monitored SITs and CBI probes.
- Involve NHRC and NCW for transparent documentation.
- Conflict-Sensitive Policing:
- Deploy gender-balanced police teams trained for humanitarian and relief contexts.
- Data Reform:
- NCRB must annotate conflict-related cases separately to avoid statistical distortion.
- Survivor-Centric Approach:
- Ensure psychological counselling, compensation, and rehabilitation for victims.
- Witness and survivor protection under the Victim Compensation Scheme (2015).
- Accountability:
- Fix command responsibility for non-registration of FIRs.
- Periodic judicial audits of police response in conflict zones.
Conclusion
The 2023 Manipur data exposes a deep institutional and moral failure — where recorded statistics obscure lived realities.
While the State burned and women were brutalized, official data painted a false picture of safety.
This disjuncture between record and reality underscores the urgent need for transparent data governance, accountable policing, and gender-sensitive conflict resolution mechanisms to restore trust and justice in Manipur.