Contents
How India Withstood the Crisis in West Asia
Sachin Kumar Sharma — Director General, RIS, New Delhi · The Hindu- India imports almost 90% of its crude oil and remains heavily dependent on the Gulf for oil, gas and fertilizers — making it, on paper, highly vulnerable to a Strait of Hormuz disruption.
- Despite fears of a 1973-style oil shock or a 1991-style balance-of-payments crisis, and the Indian crude basket crossing $120 per barrel with LPG import costs surging past ₹1,600/cylinder at the peak, India contained retail fuel and cooking-gas inflation far better than most peers.
- The author frames this as the payoff of deliberate policy choices, institutional learning, and strategic preparation — not luck.
- The central question posed: was India's resilience during the crisis a matter of chance, or the result of a decade of quiet, structural preparation across energy, diplomacy and governance?
- India is the world's third-largest oil importer, with heavy dependence on imported crude and LPG combined with rising freight costs and maritime risk during the crisis.
- Historical precedents of energy-driven macroeconomic instability in India: the 1973 oil shock and the 1991 balance-of-payments crisis — both invoked by the author as the fears this crisis initially revived.
- India imports ~60% of its LPG requirement, making cooking-gas affordability a direct channel for imported-inflation transmission to households.
- State-run Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) absorbed ₹74,781 crore in losses on petrol, diesel and LPG sales up to June 30, 2026, as global crude prices surged — rather than passing the full shock onto consumers.
- The crisis unfolded against the backdrop of the wider 2026 West Asia war involving the US, Israel and Iran, with the Strait of Hormuz — a chokepoint for a large share of global seaborne oil trade — at the epicentre of global anxiety.
- Retail price resilience (author-cited comparative data): Indian petrol prices rose just 7.5% during the crisis versus ~14% in Germany, 19% in the UK, 45% in the US, over 50% in Pakistan and the Philippines, and almost 90% in Myanmar. Diesel prices rose just 8% in India against ~85% in the UAE.
- LPG affordability: a domestic cylinder held at ₹942 (₹642 for Ujjwala beneficiaries), cheaper than Pakistan, Nepal and Sri Lanka, and far below prices in the US, Australia and Canada — despite India importing nearly 60% of its LPG needs.
- Strategic relationships as energy security: decades of engagement with Iran and Gulf partners kept communication channels open at the height of tensions; Iran facilitated the movement of Indian ships, and Gulf producers continued supplying energy.
- Supplier diversification: energy partnerships spanning Russia, the US, Africa and Latin America gave India flexibility to absorb disruption far better than in previous crises — described as not "putting all energy eggs in one basket."
- A decade of energy planning: higher ethanol blending, an expanding renewable energy base, larger strategic reserves, and stronger refining capacity built resilience well before the crisis hit.
- Whole-of-government coordination: the Ministries of External Affairs, Petroleum and Natural Gas, Ports, Shipping and Waterways, the Indian Navy, and the National Security Council Secretariat worked jointly to monitor risks, manage logistics and protect supplies.
- In favour — Comparative price data is striking: India's petrol and diesel price increases were consistently lower than large advanced and developing economies alike, supporting the claim of genuine relative resilience rather than a marginal statistical difference.
- In favour — Diversification is structurally real: the pivot toward diversified crude sourcing, including discounted supplies from non-traditional partners, is a well-documented shift that plausibly explains part of the cushioning effect.
- In favour — Institutional coordination reflects a broader trend: the whole-of-government model aligns with India's evolving crisis-management architecture seen in other recent emergencies, lending credibility to the author's institutional-learning argument.
- Against — Resilience was not costless: the ₹74,781 crore in OMC losses shows this was a fiscal and quasi-fiscal transfer, raising unanswered questions about OMC balance-sheet health and the eventual pass-through or subsidy burden on the exchequer.
- Against — Cross-country comparisons carry caveats: differing tax structures, subsidy regimes and currency movements across countries affect retail fuel prices independent of "energy security," so some of India's apparent advantage may reflect pre-existing price administration rather than crisis-specific strategy.
- Against — Some resilience factors pre-date the crisis: ethanol blending, reserve capacity and refining gains are gradual, decade-long investments; the article's framing slightly overstates them as purpose-built for this specific shock.
- Against — Durability of goodwill is uncertain: continued Iranian and Gulf cooperation assumes a stable regional environment; renewed flare-ups around the Strait of Hormuz could still test this resilience further.
- Institutionalise the whole-of-government crisis-response model (MEA–Petroleum–Shipping–Navy–NSCS coordination) as a standing mechanism rather than an ad hoc crisis response.
- Continue expanding strategic reserves, ethanol blending, and renewable capacity as structural hedges against future energy shocks.
- Address the OMC under-recovery problem transparently — sustained losses without a clear compensation mechanism risk undermining the very resilience being celebrated.
- Deepen diversification of crude and LPG sourcing further, and treat foreign-policy engagement with Iran and the Gulf as a core, not peripheral, energy-security tool.
- Build in early-warning and stress-testing mechanisms for future chokepoint disruptions, given that the Strait of Hormuz risk has not fully receded.
- Strategic Petroleum Reserves: India's underground reserve facilities are located at Visakhapatnam, Mangalore and Padur, managed by the Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Limited (ISPRL) under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas.
- Whole-of-government coordination: Ministry of External Affairs, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, Ministry of Ports, Shipping and Waterways, the Indian Navy, and the National Security Council Secretariat jointly managed risk monitoring and logistics during the crisis.
- Intro: Frame India's high import dependence on crude and LPG against the backdrop of the West Asia crisis and the fears it revived of a 1973- or 1991-style shock.
- Body 1 — Evidence of resilience: comparative retail price data (petrol, diesel, LPG) against peer economies; the scale of OMC losses absorbed to protect consumers.
- Body 2 — Structural preparation: supplier diversification, strategic reserves, ethanol blending, refining capacity, and whole-of-government coordination — balanced against caveats on fiscal cost and durability of regional goodwill.
- Conclusion: Genuine resilience rests on sustained investment in diversification and institutional coordination, but the fiscal cost of price stabilisation and the fragility of regional stability mean this resilience cannot be taken for granted going forward.
Consider the following statements regarding India's Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR):
1. They are maintained at Visakhapatnam, Mangalore, and Padur.
2. They are managed by the Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Limited (ISPRL), a special purpose vehicle.
3. They are primarily built to cushion against short-term global crude oil supply disruptions.
Which of the statements given above are correct?
Statement 1 — Correct. India's underground SPR facilities are located at Visakhapatnam, Mangalore, and Padur.
Statement 2 — Correct. ISPRL, under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, manages these reserves.
Statement 3 — Correct. SPRs exist specifically to provide a cushion during supply disruptions such as the one described in this editorial.
The Indian Diaspora as Australia's Identity, Its Future
Teesta Prakash & Hiya Harinandini — Research Fellows, Australia India Institute, University of Melbourne · The Hindu- The Indian diaspora has become Australia's largest overseas-born community, overtaking the England-born population for the first time — a genuine demographic and identity inflection point for a country long anchored by a British-derived majority.
- This shift forms the backdrop to Prime Minister Narendra Modi's third visit to Australia, where a large public diaspora event ("Melbourne Meets Modi") is expected to draw more attention than the formal bilateral agenda.
- The authors argue the India-Australia relationship has evolved from the shallow 'three Cs' — Cricket, Curry and Commonwealth — to a substantive 'four Ds' — Democracy, Defence, Diaspora and Dosti — built on a decade of institution-building, including the Quad.
- Central argument: the diaspora must be treated as a constituency with its own voice and lived experience, not merely a symbol of bilateral partnership or a statistic in trade and education discourse.
- Indian-born residents in Australia reached 971,020 (as of 30 June 2025), narrowly overtaking England-born residents at 970,950 — the first time since 1901 that England has not held the top spot among overseas-born groups.
- Significant Indian professional migration to Australia only began in the 1960s–70s, after the dismantling of the White Australia Policy — an explicitly race-based immigration regime that had excluded all but European migrants — making the Australian-Indian diaspora comparatively young relative to its US or UK counterparts.
- A large share of recent arrivals migrated during the "New India" years since 2014, driven by a mix of economic ambition and, for some, disillusionment with domestic democratic institutions — creating a cohort more tightly bound to India through family, business, remittances, and nationalist identity.
- The Quad — the informal security grouping of India, Australia, the United States and Japan — anchors the "Defence" pillar of the "four Ds" framework and is central to both countries' Indo-Pacific strategy.
- Rising backlash: nationalist street movements such as "March for Australia" have gathered pace over the past year, and the right-wing populist One Nation party is emerging as the main opponent to the governing Labor party.
- From symbol to constituency: both governments have long treated the diaspora as a talking point — income, education and trade statistics — rather than as a lived, internally diverse community stratified by class, caste, language, religion and visa status.
- Asset and target simultaneously: the same community celebrated for its economic contribution is being recast by nationalist movements as "too large, too fast, too visible" — showing how a strategic asset can double as a political liability in domestic discourse.
- Modi's visit as a stress test: a high-visibility diaspora showcase lands directly within this polarised landscape, and could be read either as a celebration of ties or, by critics, as validating anti-immigrant narratives about the community's scale.
- The evidence gap: the authors highlight the absence of serious, evidence-based research into how the diaspora actually settles, trusts institutions, and participates in civic life — a blind spot on both the Indian and Australian sides.
- A permanent identity shift for Australia: the demographic change is framed as reshaping Australia's national self-understanding, from a predominantly British-derived "antipodean" identity toward one more entangled with India and the wider Indo-Pacific.
- In favour — Grounding policy in lived experience: understanding the diaspora beyond headline statistics would let both governments anticipate and manage social friction rather than being caught off guard by backlash movements.
- In favour — Recognising internal diversity: distinguishing recent economic migrants, established professionals, and Australian-born Indians avoids treating a large, heterogeneous community as a monolith — a more analytically honest approach to policy.
- In favour — Institutional depth beyond symbolism: the "four Ds" framing (Democracy, Defence, Diaspora, Dosti) reflects real institutional depth, including the Quad and defence cooperation, beyond the earlier superficial "three Cs" cultural framing.
- Against — The backlash narrative may be overstated: whether "March for Australia" and the One Nation party reflect a durable political shift or a cyclical anti-immigration mood is not conclusively established by the authors.
- Against — The call for research remains aspirational: the authors do not specify what data, institutions, or funding mechanisms would actually close the diaspora research gap they identify.
- Against — An unresolved tension: there is friction between framing the diaspora as vital to strategic partnership while also warning against "instrumentalising" it — a balance the authors flag but do not fully resolve.
- Against — The visit's risk may be overstated: treating Modi's visit as inherently risky for feeding nationalist backlash assumes optics outweigh the substantive Quad, defence and trade agenda, which may understate the visit's other dimensions.
- Invest in sustained, disaggregated research on diaspora settlement, trust, and civic participation, rather than relying on aggregate income, education and trade statistics.
- Strengthen engagement with civil society organisations representing different diaspora segments — recent migrants, established professionals, and second-generation Australians — instead of treating the community as homogeneous.
- Build social cohesion policy proactively, rather than assuming it as a given, especially as anti-immigration sentiment finds an increasingly organised political voice.
- Treat the "four Ds" — Democracy, Defence, Diaspora and Dosti — as genuinely co-equal pillars, ensuring the Diaspora pillar is backed by institutional investment, not just symbolic events.
- Encourage bilateral research partnerships between Indian and Australian institutions to generate the evidence base needed for durable, trust-based diaspora policy.
- Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) data, released April 2026: confirms Indian-born residents (971,020) narrowly overtook England-born residents (970,950) for the first time since 1901; China, New Zealand and the Philippines follow as the next-largest overseas-born groups.
- Quad: informal strategic dialogue among India, Australia, the United States and Japan, central to the Indo-Pacific security architecture referenced under the "Defence" pillar of the "four Ds."
- Intro: Note the Indian diaspora's demographic overtaking of the England-born population in Australia, and situate it within the evolving "four Ds" framing of the bilateral relationship.
- Body 1 — The diaspora as asset: economic contribution, cultural links, Quad-anchored strategic cooperation, and the diaspora's role as connective tissue between the two countries.
- Body 2 — The diaspora as contested terrain: rising anti-immigration movements, political backlash, and the risk of the community being recast as a liability in domestic discourse; the evidence gap in understanding diaspora experience.
- Conclusion: Sustained, evidence-based engagement — not symbolic events alone — is needed to ensure the diaspora remains a durable pillar rather than a flashpoint in the relationship.
Consider the following statements regarding the Indian diaspora in Australia:
1. Indian-born residents overtook England-born residents as Australia's largest overseas-born community for the first time since 1901.
2. The Quad grouping comprises India, Australia, the United States, and Japan.
3. Large-scale Indian professional migration to Australia began in the 19th century following British colonial labour recruitment.
Which of the statements given above are correct?
Statement 1 — Correct. ABS data (2026) confirms this historic overtaking, the first since 1901.
Statement 2 — Correct. The Quad is the informal India-Australia-US-Japan security dialogue.
Statement 3 — Incorrect. Significant Indian professional migration to Australia began only in the 1960s–70s, after the White Australia Policy was dismantled — not in the 19th century.


