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The dawn of autonomous satellites and the legal vacuum above us

 Evolution of Satellites

  • The Space Age began with the launch of Sputnik (1957) — satellites were passive tools (e.g., GPS, communication, Earth observation).
  • Now, AI integration is transforming satellites into autonomous, intelligent machines capable of real-time decision-making and self-operation.

Relevance : GS 3(Space ,Technology)

 Features of AI-Powered Satellites

  • Satellite edge computing enables onboard processing and decision-making.
  • Key capabilities:
    • Automated space operations (docking, refuelling, debris removal).
    • Self-diagnosis and repair of faults.
    • Route planning for orbital optimization.
    • Real-time geospatial intelligence and disaster detection.
    • Combat support, including threat identification and engagement.

 Emerging Risks and Challenges

  • AI hallucinations could lead to misclassification of threats (e.g., mistaking commercial satellites as hostile).
  • Autonomous reactions (e.g., evasive manoeuvres) could trigger diplomatic crises or near-collisions.
  • AI decisions may occur without human oversight, creating serious accountability gaps.

 Legal and Regulatory Vacuum

  • Existing space laws — Outer Space Treaty (1967) and Liability Convention (1972) — assume human control.
  • Key legal challenges:
    • Fault attribution: Who is liable — the launching state, the operator, the developer, or the AI?
    • Jurisdictional complexity: Multinational development, operation, and registration of satellites complicates legal responsibility.
    • Authorisation and supervision under OST becomes vague in AI contexts.

 Need for Legal and Technical Solutions

  • Legalreforms:
    • Categorise levels of autonomy, similar to autonomous vehicles.
    • Mandate meaningful human control for high-risk decisions.
    • Develop global certification standards for satellite AI behaviour (fault response, manoeuvre logs, etc.).
  • International frameworks could emulate aviation and maritime insurance and liability models (e.g., HNS Convention, Montreal Convention).

 Ethical and Geopolitical Imperatives

  • Dual-use concerns: Satellites could be used for autonomous weapons, raising fears of an arms race in space.
  • Ethical data governance needed to manage massive data collection, privacy, and surveillance issues.
  • Risk of escalation from AI-triggered errors underscores the need for international cooperation.

 Call for a New Regulatory Architecture

  • AI-driven autonomy in orbit demands intelligent, adaptive legal frameworks.
  • Historical analogy: just as cars needed traffic laws, AI satellites need space governance reforms.
  • Shared orbits mean shared responsibilities — requiring multilateral collaboration and technological foresight.

May 2025
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